Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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877
FXUS64 KLZK 021719 AAA
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1119 AM CST Tue Dec 2 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1147 PM CST Mon Dec 1 2025

 - Dry and cool conditions expected Tuesday.

 - Brief warmup for Wednesday, otherwise below normal temperatures
   to persist through much of the next 7 days.

 - Another round of precipitation possible Thu-Fri, some winter
   weather possible.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1147 PM CST Mon Dec 1 2025

The H500 trough continues to progress east of the area with precip
exiting to the east of the state as well. Lingering cloud cover
will limit additional cooling through the rest of the overnight
hours. Some slick roadways will be possible in the wake of
Monday`s light winter weather event.

Sfc ridging in place across the state Tuesday will shift east of
the area on Wednesday which will provide southerly winds and a
brief increase in temperatures. Temperatures will be warmest
across the western half of the state. The flow aloft will largely
be zonal across the southern US with a weak system in place across
the SW US and a strong cyclone north of the Great Lakes.

A cold front will move across the state Wednesday night into
Thursday morning. This will provide colder temperatures for
Thursday across the state. As the weak H500 SW US disturbance
tracks across the state and a corresponding sfc low tracks along
the Gulf coast, precip will develop. Better chances for precip
will remain south of the state, but with the cold air in place
locally, some winter weather is possible across Arkansas.

Dry conditions and below normal temperatures are expected for the
upcoming weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1109 AM CST Tue Dec 2 2025

Latest sat imgry depicted low stratus continuing to dissipate fm
NW to SE over the FA, w/ most terminals still under MVFR CIGs as
of 17Z. Thru the day, expect cloud cover to continue decrsg trend
towards the SE, w. VFR condns prevailing at area terminals b/w
21-00Z Tues night. Variable winds wl prevail as sfc high pressure
settles over the state. Patchy fog may arise acrs Cntrl AR
overnight Tues, but confidence remains low so have withheld
mentions for now.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     24  48  29  38 /   0   0  10   0
Camden AR         24  53  36  43 /   0   0  40  20
Harrison AR       25  50  23  36 /   0   0   0   0
Hot Springs AR    25  52  33  41 /   0   0  10  10
Little Rock   AR  26  50  34  40 /   0   0  10  10
Monticello AR     27  53  38  44 /   0   0  40  30
Mount Ida AR      26  54  32  43 /   0   0  10  10
Mountain Home AR  25  49  24  36 /   0   0   0   0
Newport AR        24  45  30  37 /   0   0  10   0
Pine Bluff AR     24  51  34  42 /   0   0  30  20
Russellville AR   27  52  33  42 /   0   0   0  10
Searcy AR         22  48  30  39 /   0   0  10  10
Stuttgart AR      25  48  34  40 /   0   0  20  10

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...67
AVIATION...72