Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR
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098 FXUS64 KLZK 052336 AFDLZK Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Little Rock AR 536 PM CST Fri Dec 5 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 1250 AM CST Fri Dec 5 2025 - A cold morning is expected across much of the state, with readings in the 20s for many areas. - Fairly calm weather conditions expected in the coming days. - Little to no precipitation in the forecast through the next 7 days. && .DISCUSSION... (Today through Thursday) Issued at 1250 AM CST Fri Dec 5 2025 Thursday`s system continues to make progress well east of the area with sfc ridging building over the area. While some clouds will continue to stream over the area, very cold air will spill south leading to lows in the 20s across much of the northern half of the state. Some localized FG/FZFG could develop through sunrise across some of the areas where clear sky conditions are seen and where precip occurred on Thursday. A slight warmup is expected across the state through Sunday before a H500 trough moves through the W/NW mid-level flow aloft. At the sfc, this will lead to a cold front moving across the state on Sunday. Limited moisture will lead to practically no chance of precipitation with the passage of this system. While it`ll be pretty cold from Sunday night through Tuesday morning, this cooldown will be pretty short-lived. Sfc ridging will shift E/SE of the area by Tuesday with low level S/SW flow bringing warmer temperatures back for the end of the period. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 530 PM CST Fri Dec 5 2025 Expect a mixture of MVFR and VFR CIGS across all terminals to begin the forecast period. CIGS will intermittently improve to VFR flight category with a return to CIGS lowering to as low as IFR flight category across the sites of KHOT and KADF early Saturday morning just after midnight. A tad later into Saturday morning before sunrise, VSBY is expected to lower to LIFR category at times across the sites of KHOT, KADF, and KHRO which has been represented by TEMPO groups. All sites will return to VFR flight category later Saturday morning and prevail through the afternoon. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Batesville AR 31 53 37 55 / 0 0 0 0 Camden AR 30 55 40 58 / 0 0 10 10 Harrison AR 31 54 37 47 / 0 0 0 0 Hot Springs AR 31 54 37 58 / 0 0 10 10 Little Rock AR 32 53 39 57 / 0 0 0 10 Monticello AR 33 55 43 59 / 0 0 10 30 Mount Ida AR 31 56 38 57 / 0 0 0 0 Mountain Home AR 31 53 36 50 / 0 0 0 0 Newport AR 31 51 37 55 / 0 0 0 10 Pine Bluff AR 31 53 38 58 / 0 0 10 20 Russellville AR 32 55 38 57 / 0 0 0 0 Searcy AR 29 53 36 57 / 0 0 0 10 Stuttgart AR 31 51 39 57 / 0 0 0 10 && .LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ DISCUSSION...99 AVIATION...74