064
FXUS64 KMAF 152253
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
453 PM CST Mon Dec 15 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 448 PM CST Mon Dec 15 2025

- Above normal temperatures expected Tuesday onward, with highs
  generally in the 70s for most.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Tuesday night)
Issued at 100 PM CST Mon Dec 15 2025

Cloudy and cool conditions from today do not stick around as
southerly to southwesterly low level flow brings in drier and warmer
air to the region by tonight. Guidance does have weak showers in
place across Big Bend as a shortwave passes into northern Mexico,
but the rest of the region will be dry for the short term forecast.
Lows end up a few degrees warmer tonight compared to this morning.
With more sun expected, tomorrow`s highs move several degrees above
normal with most in the upper 60s to 70s. Normal highs for mid
December are in the mid to upper 50s (59F at KMAF). A weak cold
front approaches late Tuesday night, but Wednesday morning lows look
to remain mostly unchanged in the 30s and 40s.

-Stickney

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through Sunday)
Issued at 100 PM CST Mon Dec 15 2025

The extended forecast remains on track for much above normal
temperatures, with highs generally in the 60s and 70s (80s possible
on Saturday). Northwest flow aloft is expected mid-to-late week
before transitioning to zonal flow aloft by the weekend. A couple of
weak fronts could make their way into our region, but these fronts
will have little impact on high temperatures as there is a lack of
upper-level support (little to no amplification in heights/upper-
level jet). Dry conditions are expected to continue throughout the
extended due to lack of sufficient moisture and any source of
forcing for ascent.

-Greening

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 448 PM CST Mon Dec 15 2025

VFR will prevail at all terminals through the period. There is a
medium chance (50%) of FG developing in the Pecos River valley
affecting KCNM after 16/08Z so have shown that in the current TAF
and will reevaluate at next TAF issuance.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring               40  71  36  67 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                 35  74  38  71 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                   40  65  41  74 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton            45  76  42  71 /   0   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass           42  63  40  62 /   0   0   0   0
Hobbs                    34  72  36  68 /   0   0   0   0
Marfa                    37  71  31  69 /   0   0   0   0
Midland Intl Airport     40  70  38  69 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                   40  70  38  68 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                     37  73  34  69 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...93
LONG TERM....55
AVIATION...29