362
FXUS64 KMAF 291720
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1120 AM CST Sat Nov 29 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1120 AM CST Sat Nov 29 2025

- Strong cold front moving in late today to bring gap winds to
  the Guadalupe Mountains and much below normal temperatures along
  with a first freeze to many Sunday morning.

- Monday and Tuesday morning temperatures at or below freezing
  for many.

- Brief warmup midweek before another cold front moves through by
  the latter part of next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Sunday afternoon)
Issued at 1252 AM CST Sat Nov 29 2025

Low clouds and moisture have overspread the area once again tonight
as evidenced by dewpoints in the mid 50s and widespread low clouds.
This along with gusty south winds have kept temperatures mild and
mostly in the 50s. This will all change later today, but before that
happens we have one last warm one. Winds will veer to the west and
northwest later this morning helping to sweep low level moisture to
our east. Clouds will clear and with mostly sunny conditions
temperatures will climb into the 70s nearly areawide. A strong cold
front arrives late in the afternoon bringing chilly conditions the
rest of the weekend. Temperatures will drop to near freezing for
most locations north of I-10, with the central Permian Basin
expected to see their first freeze. Will keep the Freeze Watch
going, likely to be upgraded on the day shift today. Gusty winds
will make it feel much colder with wind chills Sunday morning into
the teens/20s. Strong northeast winds will develop behind the front
across the Guadalupe Mountains where gap winds will develop. The
High Wind Watch remains in effect with gusts up to 65 mph expected
overnight into Sunday morning.

Sunday is looking downright chilly with continued northeast winds
and cloudy skies keeping temperatures mostly in the 40s all day.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday night through Friday)
Issued at 1252 AM CST Sat Nov 29 2025

We are on a bit of a roller coaster this week as far as temperatures
go. Expect a brief warmup through midweek, even with a weak cold
front moving through Monday night. Wednesday looks like the warmest
day of the week with highs in the 60s/70s. Another strong cold front
arrives Thursday knocking temperatures back below normal. A weak
shortwave traversing the area could spark a few showers with the NBM
keeping chances low (20%) for now during the day Thursday. Warmer
conditions return by the end of the week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1120 AM CST Sat Nov 29 2025

VFR conditions prevail at all terminals. However, will be close to
MVFR cigs by 08Z Sunday morning through the rest of this period.
Breezy northeasterly winds are expected as a strong cold front
passes through the area this evening.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring               29  42  31  59 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                 32  48  27  64 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                   41  50  38  63 /  10   0   0   0
Fort Stockton            36  48  36  68 /   0   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass           32  43  33  58 /   0   0   0   0
Hobbs                    27  43  24  59 /   0   0   0   0
Marfa                    28  53  28  66 /   0   0  10   0
Midland Intl Airport     31  43  33  61 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                   32  42  33  61 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                     33  45  30  63 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...High Wind Watch from 9 PM CST /8 PM MST/ this evening through
     Sunday morning for Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-
     Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains.

     Freeze Watch from late tonight through Sunday morning for Crane-
     Davis Mountains Foothills-Ector-Loving-Midland-Pecos-Reagan-
     Reeves County Plains-Upton-Ward-Winkler.

NM...High Wind Watch from 8 PM MST this evening through Sunday
     morning for Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...29
LONG TERM....29
AVIATION...55