Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
092
FNUS54 KMAF 181902
FWFMAF
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for West Texas/Southeast New Mexico
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
202 PM CDT Tue Jun 18 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Min RH below critical 15% today over critically dry fuels from
Sacramento Foothills into Southeast New Mexico plains will lead to
elevated to near critical fire weather conditions. Increased rain
chances and below average high temperatures, along with good
overnight recovery Wednesday into Saturday, will lead to low fire
weather conditions into this weekend. A warming trend beginning
Friday will dry out fuels into next week. However, min RH is
forecast to remain above critical thresholds into the middle
portion of next week with light winds, so fire weather concerns
are low outside of fire starts from lightning in any storms over
higher terrain next week.
&&
For point-specific forecasts please see the Point Fire Weather
Matrix product issued by the Midland/Odessa National Weather
Service Office.
NMZ116-190915-
Sacramento Foothills and Guadalupe Mountains-
102 PM MDT Tue Jun 18 2024
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 30 50 80
Temp (24h trend) 61 (-4) 91 (-5) 61 76
RH % (24h trend) 74 (+45) 28 (+21) 92 58
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 11 SE 7 SE 17 SE 12
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 7 SE 14 SE 16 SE 15
LAL 1 2 4 3
Haines Index 6 6 3 2
Wind 10000 FT MSL 23 18 39 29
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 7850 2870
Transport Wnd (kts) SE 20 SE 19
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 157000 54530
Vent Category Excellent Fair
RFTI 3 0 0 0
RFTI Category Near Crit Nil Nil Nil
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower 60s. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum relative humidity above
15 percent. Chance of precipitation 90 percent. Southeast winds
around 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs around 90. Minimum
relative humidity above 15 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 90s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. North winds around
5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the upper 90s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
$$
NMZ117-190915-
Chaves Plains-
102 PM MDT Tue Jun 18 2024
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 20 50 60
Temp (24h trend) 68 (-1) 95 (-7) 65 82
RH % (24h trend) 84 (+21) 31 (+23) 89 53
Wind 20ft/early(mph) S 14 S 14 SE 17 SE 11
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 16 SE 15 SE 14 SE 14
LAL 1 2 4 3
Haines Index 6 6 2 2
Wind 10000 FT MSL 33 21 31 22
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 8130 3840
Transport Wnd (kts) S 21 SE 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 170730 69120
Vent Category Excellent Good
RFTI 4 0 0 0
RFTI Category Near Crit Nil Nil Nil
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southeast winds around 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs around 90. Minimum
relative humidity above 15 percent. South winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the mid
90s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the upper
90s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast winds
around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs around 102.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. South winds around
10 mph.
$$
NMZ118-190915-
Eddy Plains-
102 PM MDT Tue Jun 18 2024
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 20 40 70
Temp (24h trend) 70 (-1) 95 (-7) 67 81
RH % (24h trend) 81 (+20) 33 (+25) 86 64
Wind 20ft/early(mph) S 13 SE 14 SE 19 E 12
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 15 SE 17 SE 17 E 16
LAL 1 1 3 3
Haines Index 6 6 2 2
Wind 10000 FT MSL 25 21 34 31
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 7530 3740
Transport Wnd (kts) SE 22 E 20
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 165660 74800
Vent Category Excellent Good
RFTI 3 0 0 0
RFTI Category Near Crit Nil Nil Nil
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southeast winds around 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs around 90.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast winds
around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the mid
90s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the upper
90s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs around 102.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
$$
NMZ119-190915-
Lea-
102 PM MDT Tue Jun 18 2024
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None None Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 30 60
Temp (24h trend) 68 (-2) 92 (-8) 64 80
RH % (24h trend) 87 (+9) 31 (+17) 94 59
Wind 20ft/early(mph) S 16 SE 17 SE 18 E 12
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 18 SE 17 SE 15 E 16
LAL 1 1 3 2
Haines Index 6 6 2 2
Wind 10000 FT MSL 33 19 31 29
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 7140 3380
Transport Wnd (kts) SE 23 E 21
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 164220 70980
Vent Category Excellent Good
RFTI 2 0 0 0
RFTI Category Elevated Nil Nil Nil
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum
relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. Southeast winds around 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs around 90.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast winds
around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid
90s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast winds
around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the mid
90s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast winds
around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs around 101.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast winds
around 10 mph.
$$
TXZ270-271-190915-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-
Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-
Including the cities of Guadalupe Mountains National Park and
Pine Springs
202 PM CDT Tue Jun 18 2024 /102 PM MDT Tue Jun 18 2024/
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 20 50 80
Temp (24h trend) 62 (-6) 89 (-3) 60 72
RH % (24h trend) 73 (+37) 30 (+22) 87 67
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 9 E 9 E 23 E 19
Wind 20ft/late(mph) E 8 E 15 E 26 E 17
LAL 1 1 3 3
Haines Index 6 5 2 2
Wind 10000 FT MSL 17 19 36 37
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 5760 1810
Transport Wnd (kts) E 23 E 25
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 132480 45250
Vent Category Very good Fair
RFTI 1 0 1 0
RFTI Category Elevated Nil Elevated Nil
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower 60s. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum relative humidity above
15 percent. Chance of precipitation 80 percent. East winds 15 to
20 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds
5 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. North winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Northeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the mid
90s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
$$
TXZ272-273-275>282-190915-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County-
Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains-
Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin-
Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County-
Including the cities of Van Horn, Marfa, Fort Davis, Alpine,
Big Bend National Park, Panther Junction, Marathon, Chisos Basin,
Presidio, Lajitas, and Castolon
202 PM CDT Tue Jun 18 2024
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 10 50 90
Temp (24h trend) 65 (-7) 97 (-3) 63 79
RH % (24h trend) 84 (+26) 26 (+12) 91 63
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SE 10 E 9 E 20 E 17
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 12 E 14 E 19 E 17
LAL 1 2 3 3
Haines Index 6 5 4 2
Wind 10000 FT MSL 17 18 41 49
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 6640 2470
Transport Wnd (kts) E 24 E 27
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 159360 66690
Vent Category Excellent Good
RFTI 0 1 1 0
RFTI Category Nil Elevated Elevated Nil
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
upper 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum relative humidity above
15 percent. Chance of precipitation 80 percent. Northeast winds
around 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Northeast
winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the lower
90s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. North winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the mid
90s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. North winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the
upper 90s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-274-190915-
Gaines-Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Loving-
Winkler-Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-
Terrell-Reeves County Plains-
Including the cities of Seminole, Lamesa, Gail, Snyder, Andrews,
Stanton, Big Spring, Colorado City, Mentone, Kermit, Odessa,
Midland, Garden City, Monahans, Crane, McCamey, Rankin, Big Lake,
Fort Stockton, Dryden, Sanderson, and Pecos
202 PM CDT Tue Jun 18 2024
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None None Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 30 60
Temp (24h trend) 70 (-4) 93 (-5) 67 82
RH % (24h trend) 86 (+6) 36 (+6) 95 61
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SE 18 SE 13 E 17 E 12
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 17 SE 15 E 12 E 14
LAL 1 1 3 3
Haines Index 5 5 2 2
Wind 10000 FT MSL 31 24 35 42
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 6360 3950
Transport Wnd (kts) SE 22 E 22
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 139920 86900
Vent Category Very good Good
RFTI 0 0 0 0
RFTI Category Nil Nil Nil Nil
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the upper 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds around
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the
lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds
around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the mid
90s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the upper
90s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs around 100.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast winds
around 10 mph.
$$