Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Miami, FL
Issued by NWS Miami, FL
036
FXUS62 KMFL 281908
AFDMFL
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Miami FL
208 PM EST Fri Nov 28 2025
...New UPDATE...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 147 PM EST Fri Nov 28 2025
- Hazardous marine conditions today into the beginning of the
weekend. A high risk of rip currents will be in place for the
Atlantic beaches through the weekend.
- Below normal temperatures today and tonight, before a gradual
warmup this weekend into early next week.
&&
.UPDATE...
Issued at 147 PM EST Fri Nov 28 2025
Little to no changes to the forecast for the rest of today through
tomorrow. The only change was adding some 20-30% PoPs for east
coast metro locations tonight and tomorrow as strong surface high
pressure over most of the Eastern Seaboard will cause winds to
veer more easterly as well as remain at brisk speeds (15-20 mph
with gusts up to 30 mph). This will create a coastal convergence
setup for the Atlantic coast and model soundings do highlight
enough low level moisture that will support some shallow showers
later tonight and on Saturday. Other than this, no other changes
were made to the short term forecast.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Saturday)
Issued at 1207 AM EST Fri Nov 28 2025
Cold front pushed away from the peninsula last night and strong high
pressure over the southern US is allowing much drier and cooler air
to filter into the region today. Dewpoints this morning will fall
into the 20s/30s around the lake and SW FL and into the 40s/50s over
SE FL. Not only will temps be below normal today, but a brisk
northerly wind will be in place with afternoon gusts of 25-30 mph
expected. The lower dewpoints will be short lived as the surface
high over the southern US starts to quickly move east, our winds
will become NNE this afternoon which will allow for dewpoints to
start recovering and they should be in the 40s/50s across the entire
area by this evening. High temps this afternoon will range from the
upper 60s around the lake to lower 70s across the rest of South FL.
Partly cloudy skies expected overnight near the Atlantic coast,
while mainly clear skies are expected inland and over SW FL. Low
temps tonight will be around 50 west of the lake, to low and mid 60s
across the east coast metro.
High pressure will continue racing eastward on Saturday and is
expected to be off the Mid Atlantic coast by the evening. This will
result in our winds becoming easterly which will result in temps
closer to normal and will also increase low level moisture,
especially over SE FL where some spotty late day showers are
possible. Winds will remain breezy with gusts 25-30 mph again during
the afternoon hours. High temps will range from the upper 70s around
the lake and across the east coast metro, to around 80 over SW FL.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Saturday night through Thursday)
Issued at 1207 AM EST Fri Nov 28 2025
By Sunday the frontal boundary which was to our south will start to
lift north across FL as a warm front. This will increase the chance
for coastal showers on Sunday, but as the front lifts into northern
FL early in the work week rain chances locally will diminish. The
next cold front is projected to cross the area on Wednesday, but
appears to have little to no moisture associated with it. The only
noticeable impact of this frontal boundary will be slightly lower
temps and humidity for the end of the work week. High temps will
generally be in the lower to middle 80s through Tuesday, with lows
in the 60s/70s. From Wednesday through the end of the work week
highs will be in the upper 70s to lower 80s, and lows will be in the
50s/60s.
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1208 PM EST Fri Nov 28 2025
Mainly VFR conditions will prevail through the forecast period.
NNE winds this afternoon will generally range between 10 to 15
kts through the afternoon. Gusts of 20 to 25 kts will remain
possible across all terminals through the late afternoon hours.
Expecting more of a shift to an easterly direction tomorrow with
VCSH.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 1207 AM EST Fri Nov 28 2025
In the wake of a cold front that crossed the region last evening,
strong high pressure building in will result in hazardous winds and
seas for all local waters through Saturday, and continuing for the
Atlantic waters through Sunday morning. Northerly winds 20-25 kts
today will become easterly on Saturday. Seas of 4-8 ft in the Gulf
today, and 6-10 ft in the Atlantic. Lake and Bay waters will be
rough.
&&
.BEACHES...
Issued at 1207 AM EST Fri Nov 28 2025
Increasing swell in the wake of a passing cold front will result in
a high risk of rip currents today for the Atlantic beaches. The risk
will remain high through the weekend as strong easterly flow
develops.
With the strong easterly flow developing this weekend, waves of 6-8
ft in the surf zone are possible along portions of the Atlantic
beaches.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1207 AM EST Fri Nov 28 2025
Drier air will filter into the region today. Min RH values over
inland SW FL will be 30-40 percent late this morning through mid
afternoon. This combined with northerly winds of 10-15 mph will
result in a limited fire weather threat.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Miami 66 78 71 82 / 30 30 20 10
West Kendall 62 78 69 83 / 30 30 20 10
Opa-Locka 64 79 70 83 / 30 30 20 10
Homestead 66 78 71 82 / 30 40 30 10
Fort Lauderdale 66 77 70 81 / 30 30 20 10
N Ft Lauderdale 66 77 71 81 / 30 30 20 20
Pembroke Pines 65 79 70 83 / 30 30 20 10
West Palm Beach 65 77 69 81 / 30 20 20 20
Boca Raton 66 78 70 82 / 30 20 20 20
Naples 56 82 65 85 / 10 10 0 0
&&
.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Rip Current Risk through Sunday evening for FLZ168-172-173.
High Surf Advisory from 7 AM Saturday to 7 AM EST Sunday for
FLZ168-172-173.
AM...Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EST this evening for AMZ610.
Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EST Sunday for AMZ630-650-651-
670-671.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EST Saturday for GMZ656-657-676.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...CMF
LONG TERM....CMF
AVIATION...Redman