400
FXUS62 KMFL 081053
AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Miami FL
553 AM EST Sat Nov 8 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 552 AM EST Sat Nov 8 2025

 - No significant rain expected for the rest of the week.

 - A cold weather event is expected early next week with coldest
   temperatures Monday night into Tuesday morning.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Sunday)
Issued at 317 AM EST Sat Nov 8 2025

Ensembles and global model solutions are showing better agreement
for the short term synoptic scenario. While most of the E CONUS will
be dominated by an active weather pattern, broad high pressure over
the western Atlantic will expand into the Florida peninsula through
the rest of the weekend. Zonal flow establishes at the mid
levels, along with filtering drier air. As the ridge broadens,
pressure gradients will relax today and bringing generally light
flow at the sfc across SoFlo.

Latest model PWATs show values dropping to near one inch, which will
help in keeping basically single-digit POPs and overall benign
weather prevailing through Sunday.

Afternoon highs will hit the highest values during the next several
days before the anticipated cool down early next week. Expect highs
in the upper 80 to around 90 each day.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday night through Friday)
Issued at 317 AM EST Sat Nov 8 2025

Latest ensemble and global solutions show good agreement in bringing
a frontal passage across the state starting Monday morning. This
will be a dry FROPA, with the main impacts weather-wise being
increasing northerly winds and colder air advection.

NBM timing is more consistent with bringing the first colder air
intrusion in the Monday late morning-early afternoon time frame,
with afternoon highs in the low-mid 70s around the Lake region, and
capping around 80 over the southern-most portions of SoFlo.

Northerly winds will reach the 10-15 mph range with higher gusts by
the late morning on Monday, with cold air advection intensifying
during the evening and overnight hours. Tuesday morning should be
the coldest period with morning lows dropping into the upper 30s to
low 40s around the Lake region, and mid-upper 40s elsewhere.
Locations right along the coast may remain close to 50. For the
Tuesday afternoon highs, models are coming a little cooler than
previous runs, with low-mid 60s around the Lake region and upper 60s
to around 70 elsewhere.

The air mass gradually moderates from Wednesday and through the end
of the work week as the west Atlantic ridge returns over the area.
Winds veer to a more easterly flow and warms up the air mass.
Afternoon highs climb back into the upper 70s to low 80s by Friday.

POPs remain basically in single digits every day of the forecast
period with benign weather prevailing.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 552 AM EST Sat Nov 8 2025

VFR expected to prevail during the next 24 hours at all terminals.
Light and variable winds will increase slightly this afternoon
to around 5-8 kts out of the SE for the east coast and out of the
west for KAPF. Winds become light and variable after 00Z.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 317 AM EST Sat Nov 8 2025

Southeast winds around 5-10 knots will gradually shift more
south-southwesterly through Sunday ahead of an approaching front.
Hazardous marine conditions are expected to quickly develop in
the wake of the frontal passage starting Monday morning and
continuing through the middle of the work week. Most of South
Florida`s coastal waters will be affected by the stronger winds.
High-end Advisory conditions are possible as early as Monday.

&&

.BEACHES...
Issued at 317 AM EST Sat Nov 8 2025

A moderate risk of rip currents continues today at all beaches of
Palm Beach county.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Miami            87  74  87  72 /  10  10  10  10
West Kendall     88  71  88  70 /  10   0  20  10
Opa-Locka        89  73  88  72 /  10  10  20  10
Homestead        87  72  86  71 /  10   0  10  10
Fort Lauderdale  87  73  87  71 /  10  10  20  10
N Ft Lauderdale  87  74  87  71 /  10  10  20  10
Pembroke Pines   90  74  90  72 /  10  10  20  10
West Palm Beach  88  72  88  70 /  10  20  20  10
Boca Raton       88  73  88  71 /  10  10  20  10
Naples           85  72  85  69 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...17
LONG TERM....17
AVIATION...Hadi