Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Medford, OR
Issued by NWS Medford, OR
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075
FNUS76 KMFR 180433
FWSMFR
Spot Forecast for Timbered Mountain Pile RX...USFS
National Weather Service MEDFORD OR
833 PM PST Mon Nov 17 2025
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 PST on November 18.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...There will be a break between systems with below
normal temperatures expected Tuesday into Wednesday with near to
below freezing morning temperatures. Another round of active weather
is anticipated Wednesday afternoon through Thursday, bringing rainfall
to the burn site Wednesday night. Winds will also pick up as they
come from the south and southwest Wednesday afternoon. Light rainfall
amounts of less than a tenth of an inch are expected Wednesday night
into early Thursday. Rain chances decrease through the day Thursday
and dry conditions with east to northeast winds will come Friday.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Chance of lightning.1 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 50.
Min humidity........59 percent.
Eye level winds.....Light winds.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......3000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 4 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy becoming mostly cloudy. Patchy
fog overnight.
Chance of lightning.0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 29.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Eye level winds.....North winds around 2 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 5 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Patchy fog early in the morning.
Chance of lightning.0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 50.
Min humidity........56 percent.
Eye level winds.....Light winds becoming south up to 3 mph in the
afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 6 to 8 mph in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......3100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 8 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...
Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain and snow. Lows in
the lower 30s. Highs in the mid 40s. South winds around 6 mph.
.FRIDAY...
Partly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
upper 40s. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...
Partly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs around 50.
Light winds.
$$
Forecaster...HERMANSEN
Requested by...Mitchell Murphy
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2526182.0/MFR
.DELDT 11/18/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jeffrey.gouveia@usda.gov,mitchell.murphy@usda.gov