985
FXUS62 KMLB 141734
AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
1234 PM EST Fri Nov 14 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 110 AM EST Fri Nov 14 2025

- Dry conditions are forecast through the weekend and much of next
  week.

- A gradual warming trend into the weekend then temperatures hold
  slightly above normal next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 110 AM EST Fri Nov 14 2025

Today...A weak front will push south across the area as high
pressure over the central Appalachians builds over the area.
A north to northeast breeze up to 15 mph will develop along the
coast. The atmosphere is too dry for any rain, even much cloud cover
with this frontal passage. There should be some thin cirrus
streaming ESE across the area. Max temps will range from the lower
70s along the immediate Volusia coast to the upper 70s around Lake
Okeechobee with most areas reaching the mid 70s. There will be a
Moderate risk for rip currents at the beaches.

Sat-Thu...High pressure ridge axis settles over the area Sat then
continues to press south of the area Sun. This will result in
lighter winds Sat in vicinity of the ridge axis followed by a
developing offshore (WSW) flow Sun. Another weak front is forecast
to sag southward across the area Mon with little chance for rain.
The front dissipates Tue over central or south FL. Weak high
pressure rebuilds over the area Wed-Thu.

Temperatures are forecast to continue on a gradual warming trend
into the weekend with highs in the mid to upper 70s today warming
into the upper 70s/lower 80s Sat-Sun. Max temps will warm into the
low and mid 80s interior next week, holding near 80 along the coast.
Along with the temperatures, dewpoints will also be creeping upwards
and this should support some patchy late night/early morning fog
this weekend and next week.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 110 AM EST Fri Nov 14 2025

Generally favorable boating conditions. Reinforcing high pressure
over the central Appalachians Friday will build southward over the
area with the ridge axis across central FL on Sat. The high
continues south and east onto the open Atlc with a trailing ridge
axis across south FL Sun and Mon. A weak cool front may reach
central FL and the local Atlc waters Mon/Mon night before
dissipating and weak high pressure builds in Tue.

North winds today around 10 knots as reinforcing high pressure
builds over the area then lighter E/NE flow Sat as ridge axis
settles over the area. Wind flow turns offshore (SW-W) 10-15 knots
Sun as ridge axis slips south of the waters. Offshore flow continues
Mon (westerly) and could turn NW-N during the afternoon depending on
the location of the frontal boundary. A light onshore flow Tue
within a weak pressure gradient environment. Seas 2 ft nearshore and
3 ft offshore, occasionally up to 4 ft in the Gulf stream.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFs)
Issued at 1234 PM EST Fri Nov 14 2025

Light northerly winds become variable at times as high pressure
settles across central Florida. Peak winds are forecast around 10
kts or less along the coast this afternoon. There is low confidence
for fog development near LEE/DAB late tonight and into early
Saturday morning, and have kept mention out of the TAF for now.
Otherwise, VFR.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  55  77  55  78 /   0   0   0   0
MCO  56  79  56  79 /   0   0   0   0
MLB  60  78  58  80 /   0   0   0   0
VRB  60  79  58  80 /   0   0   0   0
LEE  53  79  54  78 /   0   0   0   0
SFB  55  79  56  79 /   0   0   0   0
ORL  57  79  57  79 /   0   0   0   0
FPR  59  79  57  81 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Kelly
AVIATION...Law