487
FXUS62 KMLB 120700
AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
200 AM EST Wed Nov 12 2025

...New KEY MESSAGES, DISCUSSION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER, CLIMATE...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 200 AM EST Wed Nov 12 2025

- Light wind, clear skies, and cold temperatures will support
  patchy to areas of frost across Lake, Volusia, NW Orange,
  western Seminole and NW Brevard counties this morning

- Dry weather is forecast through the remainder of the week with a
  gradual warming trend into the weekend and early next week

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 200 AM EST Wed Nov 12 2025

Today-Tonight...Another cold start to the morning across east
central Florida, with lows in the mid 30s to mid 40s areawide.
Some spots along the coast, particularly along the Treasure Coast,
may only see lows falling into the low 50s. The coldest
temperatures are focused north of the I-4 corridor, which is also
where there is the potential for frost development due to light
winds. A Frost Advisory remains in effect for Lake and Volusia
counties through 8 AM.

Surface high pressure settles across the Florida peninsula today,
keeping conditions dry locally. Mostly sunny skies are forecast
along with light north to northwest winds. Temperatures will warm
slightly but still remain below normal in the upper 60s to low 70s
areawide. Dry conditions with light winds persist into the
overnight hours, with lows in the mid 40s to mid 50s.

Thursday-Tuesday...The surface high will remain in place over the
Florida peninsula through the extended period, with near-zero
rain chances forecast through early next week. The Euro hints at a
potential weak front drifting southward early next week, but the
GFS keeps it north of the area. Winds remain below 15 mph through
the weekend and into next week, veering from the north-northeast
to out of the southeast to southwest over the weekend and then out
of the west to northwest early next week. Highs reach the low to
mid 70s on Thursday, with lows remaining a tad cooler in the mid
40s to mid 50s. Temperatures are then forecast to follow a gradual
warming trend over the next several days, returning to near-
normal temperatures by Friday, with highs in the mid 70s to low
80s with lows in the 50s to low 60s.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 200 AM EST Wed Nov 12 2025

Generally favorable boating conditions return to the local
Atlantic waters as an area of high pressure settles across the
area. Northwest to northeast winds are forecast to prevail through
the end of this week, veering to out of the southwest to
southeast this weekend. Winds are forecast to remain below 15
knots through the forecast period. Seas of 2 to 4 feet are
anticipated to persist. Rain is not forecast across the local
Atlantic waters thanks to the high pressure remaining situated
across the area.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFs)
Issued at 1229 AM EST Wed Nov 12 2025

VFR conditions prevailing. Marine stratocu near 035-040 in the
afternoon along the coast from near MLB southward may become
broken at times. Light NNW winds overnight will back W/WNW in the
afternoon over the interior, while NE winds prevail along the
coast. Regardless, speeds around 10 kts or less through the TAF
period.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 200 AM EST Wed Nov 12 2025

Sensitive fire weather conditions are forecast today, primarily
north of the I-4 corridor, due to minimum RH values falling below
35%. Winds are forecast to remain below critical thresholds,
generally out of the north to northwest at 5 to 10 mph. Conditions
slowly improve late this week as moisture increases, with minimum
RH values remaining above 35% and winds remaining below 15 mph.

&&

.CLIMATE...
Issued at 200 AM EST Wed Nov 12 2025

Wednesday, November 12th:
                            RECORD   NORMAL
                    DATE    LOWS     LOWS
Daytona Beach (DAB) 12-Nov  40 1995  59
Leesburg (LEE)      12-Nov  38 1991  58
Sanford (SFB)       12-Nov  40 1968  59
Orlando (MCO)       12-Nov  35 1913  59
Melbourne (MLB)     12-Nov  42 1968  61
Vero Beach (VRB)    12-Nov  44 1991  62
Fort Pierce (FPR)   12-Nov  41 1991  61

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  68  47  72  52 /   0   0   0   0
MCO  69  48  74  52 /   0   0   0   0
MLB  70  52  73  57 /   0   0   0   0
VRB  72  52  74  57 /   0   0   0   0
LEE  68  46  74  50 /   0   0   0   0
SFB  69  46  74  52 /   0   0   0   0
ORL  69  49  73  53 /   0   0   0   0
FPR  72  52  74  57 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...Frost Advisory until 8 AM EST this morning for FLZ041-044-141-
     144.

AM...None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Tollefsen
AVIATION...Leahy