410
FXUS64 KMOB 152333
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
533 PM CST Mon Dec 15 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 532 PM CST Mon Dec 15 2025

  - Bitter cold temperatures and wind chills will continue until
    mid-morning. Wind chills could fall to 10 degrees across
    interior counties and to 15 degrees along coastal counties.

  - Rain chances are expected to increase Wednesday night into
    Thursday before the next cold front moves through the area.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1258 PM CST Mon Dec 15 2025

Cool and dry conditions will persist through Tuesday as weak
northwesterly flow continues. Expect the next 48 hours to mainly
be a temperature forecast with lows dropping into the mid to
upper 20s once again. After tonight, the pattern will quickly
begin to flip as troughing to our west begins to develop and
northwesterly flow aloft quickly becomes westerly to
southwesterly. Expect a gradual warmup through Wednesday and into
Thursday as our next system approaches from the west. Moisture
should steadily increase and scattered showers and storms will be
possible Wednesday night before increasing on Thursday as a
surface cold front moves through the area. While we cannot rule
out a storm or two getting noisy, the overall setup does look
promising for strong to severe storms as most of the forcing will
be displaced to our north and west. Overall, the rain will once
again be beneficial as we slowly inch our way out of drought.

Once the front moves through on Thursday, temperatures will
quickly drop into the 30s once again. However, this cold shot will
be temporary as upper ridging will likely develop by the end of
the weekend into early next week leading to temperatures
increasing steadily through Monday. Highs by Monday should return
in to the 70s. BB-8

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 532 PM CST Mon Dec 15 2025

VFR conditions with variable winds around 5 knots or less expected.
/16

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1258 PM CST Mon Dec 15 2025

Strong northeasterly winds will diminish this afternoon with a
light easterly flow following for Tuesday. A southeasterly flow
develops Tuesday night then becomes southerly on Thursday. Winds
switch to the north Thursday night as a cold front moves through,
then a southeasterly flow develops on Saturday. BB-8

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      29  59  44  65 /   0   0   0  10
Pensacola   34  58  48  65 /   0   0   0  10
Destin      38  59  49  65 /   0   0   0  10
Evergreen   24  60  37  65 /   0   0   0  10
Waynesboro  24  57  37  64 /   0   0   0  10
Camden      24  56  35  62 /   0   0   0   0
Crestview   23  58  38  66 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$