124
FXUS64 KMOB 051123
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
523 AM CST Fri Dec 5 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 521 AM CST Fri Dec 5 2025

  - Periods of heavy rain are possible across the Florida
    Panhandle through Saturday that could result in some nuisance
    flooding.

  - There is a moderate risk of life threatening rip currents
    today in the early evening hours for the beaches of Alabama
    and the western Florida Panhandle.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1241 AM CST Fri Dec 5 2025

We saw the bulk of the rain on Thursday across most of the
forecast area of this 3 day event as models are now trending
downward with PoPs and QPF. The only areas that will receive more
rainfall over the next 2 days compared to Thursday will be along
and east of a line from Pensacola, FL to Luverne, AL. As it stands
now across the entire forecast area, we are expecting additional
rainfall amounts to range from 0.2 to 0.7 of an inch northwest of
the Interstate-65 corridor, and from 0.7 to 1.3 inches to the
southeast. Therefore, we are expecting any additional flooding
concerns across the area outside of some possible nuisance
flooding along the coast from Navarre Beach to Destin. Light
northerly winds will occur today into the evening as a low
pressure system just off our coast departs off to our east. Light
winds will then occur over the weekend prior to a cold front
passing through the area Sunday night ushering in a much cooler
and drier airmass as a strong surface high builds in from the
north. In fact, we could see some sub-freezing temperatures across
the northern half of the forecast area Monday night. Dry weather
conditions will prevail through the remainder of the forecast,
although a few spotty light showers may occur Wednesday night.

Beach Forecast: A MODERATE risk of rip currents will persist today
into the early evening hours, followed by a LOW risk over the
weekend through Tuesday night due to northerly winds. /22

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 523 AM CST Fri Dec 5 2025

LIFR to IFR ceilings are expected to predominate over the area
through Friday with occasional rain mostly affecting the portion
of the area along and east of I-65. North to northwest winds 5-10
knots today become northerly 5 knots or less tonight. /29

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1241 AM CST Fri Dec 5 2025

Mariners operating small craft on the Gulf from 20-60nm should
exercise caution tonight. Otherwise, winds will shift northerly by
noon today and relax as a low pressure system across the area
departs off to the east. A light offshore flow will follow through
Saturday, briefly shift easterly Saturday night, followed by a
moderate northerly flow through early next week as a strong
surface high builds in from the north. /22

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      55  46  55  48 /  60  60  80  20
Pensacola   58  51  57  53 /  70  50  90  50
Destin      63  51  58  53 /  70  60  90  60
Evergreen   55  43  55  42 /  60  60  80  20
Waynesboro  49  41  53  42 /  40  40  50  10
Camden      51  40  52  40 /  40  40  60  10
Crestview   58  46  55  46 /  70  60  90  40

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$