048
FXUS64 KMOB 181838
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1238 PM CST Tue Nov 18 2025

...New DISCUSSION, MARINE...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1235 PM CST Tue Nov 18 2025

 - Areas of dense fog will be possible across southeastern
   Mississippi and southwest Alabama again tonight into Wednesday
   morning. Patchy dense fog will be possible each morning this
   week.

 - Risk for rip currents may increase to a high risk late in the
   week ahead of the next chance for showers and storms.

 - Rain chances gradually increase into the weekend; however,
   drought conditions are expected to continue across the area
   until the rain arrives.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1235 PM CST Tue Nov 18 2025

Warm and dry conditions prevail through much of the week as a
upper level ridge builds over the region. At the sfc, high
pressure will remain in control with southeasterly to southerly
flow bringing increased moisture to the area. Due to the increased
moisture along with light winds, dense fog will develop each
night. We have issued a Dense Fog Advisory for Wednesday morning
for southeast Mississippi and portions of southwest Alabama.
Temperatures will remain above normal through the period, likely
flirting with a few record highs by midweek as an upper ridge
builds across the area. Lows will also increase through the period
as moisture returns to the area. Rain chances increase Friday
into Saturday as an upper trough ejects across the plains and
weakens as it moves eastward. While the main dynamics pass well to
the north, enough low level moisture combined with the
approaching trough will lead to isolated to scattered showers and
storms Friday into Saturday. Dry and warm conditions return on
Sunday as upper ridging rebuilds across the area. Rain chances
increase again by the early to middle of next week as the next
system approaches from the west. Overnight patchy fog will
continue to be an issue each night as moisture levels increase.

Rip current probabilities continue to indicate that a potential
rise to a MODERATE risk for all beaches on Friday into the
weekend. /13

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1150 AM CST Tue Nov 18 2025

Lingering MVFR ceilings will continue to improve to VFR throughout
the early afternoon hours. Another round of dense fog is expected
to impact the area tonight into Wednesday morning as winds become
calm overnight. Ceilings and visibilities are expected to quickly
fall to LIFR to VLIFR in the pre-dawn hours on Wednesday and
likely stay there until 15z. 07/mb

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1235 PM CST Tue Nov 18 2025

Easterly flow today will become southeasterly Tuesday into
Wednesday. A moderate southerly flow develops on Friday ahead of an
approaching front.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      61  80  59  78 /   0   0   0   0
Pensacola   62  77  61  76 /   0   0   0   0
Destin      62  76  61  76 /   0   0   0   0
Evergreen   56  83  56  83 /   0   0   0   0
Waynesboro  59  81  57  82 /   0   0   0   0
Camden      58  81  56  81 /   0   0   0   0
Crestview   54  81  55  81 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...Dense Fog Advisory from midnight tonight to 9 AM CST Wednesday
     for ALZ051>053-261>266.

FL...None.
MS...Dense Fog Advisory from midnight tonight to 9 AM CST Wednesday
     for MSZ067-075-076-078-079.

GM...None.
&&

$$