066
FXUS64 KMOB 141729
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1129 AM CST Fri Nov 14 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1125 AM CST Fri Nov 14 2025

 - Patchy fog continues to develop this morning and this trend
   will continue area-wide through the pre-dawn hours. Another
   round of patchy fog is possible late Friday night into the
   early morning on Saturday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 108 AM CST Fri Nov 14 2025

Another mild overnight period is on tap with lows settling into the
mid to low 40s inland with low 50s closer to the coast. The forecast
remains on track with only a few tweaks to the afternoon dewpoints
for today. Patchy fog is looking likely in the pre-dawn hours given
that we have another round of light winds and clear skies.
Visibility has already fallen to near 1 mile in a few spots near the
coast as of 07z and this trend of lowering visibilities will
continue area-wide over the next several hours.

The forecast remains rain-free through Tuesday and potentially
Wednesday. Weak ridging aloft continues to nose into our area from
the west through early in the weekend before flattening out somewhat
as a system slides across the Great Lakes region. Flow aloft remains
relatively zonal Sunday through Tuesday. The pattern aloft becomes
more amplified by mid-week as a potent trough swings across the
western CONUS behind a series of shortwaves. Given all the feature
interactions aloft, there remains a bit of a spread in the guidance
with respect to the timing of when the trough lifts eastward. That
said, we are looking at increasing chances for showers and storms as
we later into the week (Friday and beyond).

Beach Forecast - Rip current risk remains LOW through mid week in
this pattern. The rip current MOS probabilities indicate that the
risk may briefly increase to near MODERATE levels by late Sunday
afternoon across the Florida panhandle beaches. 07/mb

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1125 AM CST Fri Nov 14 2025

VFR flight category prevails for the rest of the day into early
this evening. MVFR to IFR ceilings and visibility may develop late
evening into the early overnight as patches of fog, locally dense,
begin to develop across the southern half of the area. Patchy to
areas of dense fog materialize as we head through the rest of the
overnight into daybreak Saturday, likely resulting in IFR to VLIFR
ceilings and visibilities in spots, particularly across coastal
counties. Fog gradually lifts in the hours following daybreak, and
VFR flight category will once again prevail across the region by
mid to late morning. Winds will remain generally light and
variable today, calming tonight. MM/25

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 108 AM CST Fri Nov 14 2025

No impacts expected through early next week. Onshore flow may
approach advisory levels late in the week. 07/mb

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      52  76  55  78 /   0   0   0   0
Pensacola   54  74  60  76 /   0   0   0   0
Destin      56  73  61  75 /   0   0   0   0
Evergreen   47  79  51  80 /   0   0   0   0
Waynesboro  49  79  53  80 /   0   0   0   0
Camden      47  79  53  79 /   0   0   0   0
Crestview   44  77  51  79 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$