409
FNUS74 KMOB 151145
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for H-14 RX...Eglin AFB
National Weather Service Mobile AL
645 AM CDT Sat Jun 15 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CDT on June 15.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Dry conditions are expected over the burn area
through tonight, then high rain chances follow for Sunday.
Afternoon relative humidity values remain above critical levels.
Transport winds will be initially easterly then become
southeasterly later today. Transport winds will be southeasterly
on Sunday. Dispersion values will be generally good today and
Sunday.

Fog potential and other remarks...Fog is not expected.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 96.
Min humidity........39 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east 5 to 7 mph late in
                    the morning, then shifting to the south 8 to 10
                    mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......6400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 8 to 12 mph shifting to the southeast 10
                    to 12 mph late in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....17 increasing to 35 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 56 late in the morning decreasing
                    to 44 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............2.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Sky (%).........0      2      4      8      6
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1
Temp............84     92     94     95     92
RH..............59     43     39     40     46
20 FT wind dir..ENE    E      SE     SSE    S
20 FT wind spd..5      6      9      10     10
20 FT wind gust.7      9      14     14     14
Mix hgt (ft)....2600   5400   6400   4900   3900
Transp wind dir.ENE    E      ESE    SE     S
Transp wind spd.8      10     10     10     12
Dispersion idx..17     51     56     51     44
LVORI...........2      1      1      1      2

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 77.
Max humidity........91 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 7 to 13 mph.
Dispersion index....44 decreasing to 5.
LVORI...............4.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........6      4      9      13     11     11
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10     0      0      0      0      10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............90     84     82     80     78     78
RH..............50     67     79     85     88     91
20 FT wind dir..S      S      S      SSE    SE     E
20 FT wind spd..10     6      5      3      3      3
20 FT wind gust.14     12     8      7      7      7
Mix hgt (ft)....3900   400    400    400    400    400
Transp wind dir.S      S      S      S      SSE    SSE
Transp wind spd.13     9      7      7      8      8
Dispersion idx..44     6      5      5      5      5
LVORI...........2      3      4      5      5      6

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent) then becoming partly
                    sunny (60-70 percent). Showers likely and
                    chance of thunderstorms in the morning. Showers
                    with thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
LAL.................1 until 0700, then 3 until 1300, then 4.
Max temperature.....Around 89.
Min humidity........60 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 13 mph in
                    the morning and early afternoon, then shifting
                    to the south 12 to 15 mph late in the
                    afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 8 to 17 mph.
Dispersion index....5 increasing to 23 early in the morning, then
                    increasing to 44 late in the morning
                    decreasing to 37.
LVORI...............4.
Stability class.....3.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........25     56     56     62     75     78
Weather cov.....       LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE
Weather type....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........       CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY
Chc of pcpn (%).10     60     60     60     80     80
LAL.............1      3      3      3      4      4
Temp............77     82     87     88     88     86
RH..............90     79     65     60     62     65
20 FT wind dir..E      SE     SE     SSE    SSE    SSE
20 FT wind spd..5      6      10     13     15     14
20 FT wind gust.8      10     15     18     20     18
Mix hgt (ft)....400    2300   3300   3100   2600   2500
Transp wind dir.SE     SE     ESE    SE     SE     SSE
Transp wind spd.8      10     14     15     16     17
Dispersion idx..5      26     44     44     39     36
LVORI...........6      4      2      2      2      3

$$
Forecaster...29
Requested by...Tom Murrie
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2416159.0/MOB
.DELDT 06/15/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL thomas.murrie@us.af.mil