939
FXUS66 KMTR 192353
AFDMTR

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Francisco CA
353 PM PST Wed Nov 19 2025

...New AVIATION, MARINE, BEACHES...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1231 PM PST Wed Nov 19 2025

 - Beneficial type rain arrives late this evening and continues
   through Thursday.

 - Dry weather returns Friday and continues through the weekend.

 - Increased risk for sneaker waves and rip currents through
   Thursday afternoon through Monday evening.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
Issued at 1231 PM PST Wed Nov 19 2025
(This evening through Thursday)

The last round of rain for this week arrives this evening and will
gradually spread from north to south overnight. Rain may be
lingering during the morning commute hours depending on your
location, with areas south of San Francisco and the East Bay having
the best chance. Road will be slick and there is a possibility for n
nuisance flooding, such as minor ponding of water on roadways, poor
drainage, or urban areas. Once the front works through, there may be
some post frontal showers though those will diminish as drier air
works its way into the region. In addition to rain, some gusty winds
of 30-40 mph are expected along the coasts and higher terrain. Rain
amounts for this system haven`t changed much with the terrain of the
North Bay, Santa Lucia, and Santa Cruz mountains potentially seeing
up to 0.25-0.50" while everywhere else is closer to 0.10-0.20" or
less.

&&

.LONG TERM...
Issued at 1231 PM PST Wed Nov 19 2025
(Thursday night through next Tuesday)

No major changes to the extended forecast. Friday will be the start
of a drier stretch of weather, with temperatures warming up a few
degrees for the weekend. Highs rise into the 60s for most locations
on Saturday, with cooler temperatures in the 50s for those on higher
terrain. Sunday looks to be warmer with the mid 60s to near 70s
expected for interior valleys, the mid 50s to mid 50s along the
coast, and from the 50s to upper 60s for those in higher terrain.
The weather looks to mostly be on repeat through early next week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 353 PM PST Wed Nov 19 2025

VFR-MVFR along with areas of IFR in rain tonight and Thursday.
Low pressure system departs to the south Thursday night.

Vicinity of SFO...VFR-MVFR. Rain tonight and Thursday morning
then a few lingering showers Thursday afternoon and early evening.
Southwest wind 5 to 10 knots becoming light and variable tonight
then northwest 10 knots Thursday afternoon and evening.

SFO Bridge Approach...Similar to SFO.

Monterey Bay Terminals...VFR-MVFR. Rain tonight and Thursday.
Mainly light southeasterly winds becoming west to northwest 10
knots Thursday afternoon.

&&

.MARINE...
(Tonight through next Monday)
Issued at 322 PM PST Wed Nov 19 2025

Hazardous marine conditions return late tonight into Thursday
with a weak storm system moving across the coastal waters. Rain
redevelops tonight and Thursday with thunderstorms not
anticipated. This system will bring a return of moderate winds
with strong  gusts tonight through Friday before winds abate over
the weekend.  Seas build to between 10 to 15 feet Thursday and
remain elevated  into early next week. Elevated seas will be
prolonged by the arrival of two distinct rounds of long period
northwesterly swell.

&&

.BEACHES...
Issued at 322 PM PST Wed Nov 19 2025

A Beach Hazards Statement is in effect from Thursday afternoon
through Monday evening. A long period northwesterly swell will
result in an increased risk for sneaker waves and rip currents.
Breaking waves of 13 to 18 feet are expected. Sneaker waves can
unexpectedly run significantly farther up the beach than normal,
including over rocks and jetties. Rip currents are typically more
frequent and stronger in the vicinity of jetties, inlets, and
piers.

&&

.MTR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...Beach Hazards Statement from Thursday afternoon through Monday
     evening for CAZ006-505-509-529-530.

PZ...Small Craft Advisory from 3 AM Thursday to 9 AM PST Friday for
     Pigeon Pt to Pt Pinos 0-10 nm-Pt Arena to Pt Reyes 0-10 nm-
     Pt Pinos to Pt Piedras Blancas 0-10 nm.

     Small Craft Advisory from 11 PM this evening to 9 AM PST Friday
     for Pigeon Pt to Pt Pinos 10-60 NM-Pt Arena to Pt Reyes 10-
     60 NM.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...KR
LONG TERM....KR
AVIATION...Canepa
MARINE...Canepa

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