Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Francisco Bay Area, CA
Issued by NWS San Francisco Bay Area, CA
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FXUS66 KMTR 290942
AFDMTR
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Francisco CA
142 AM PST Sat Nov 29 2025
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, BEACHES...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 139 AM PST Sat Nov 29 2025
- Mild and quiet, beautiful weather through the weekend.
- Pattern continues into much of next week. Breezy offshore winds
in the North Bay interior Wed/Thu. Minimal impact.
- Hazardous beach conditions through early next, which will include
sneaker waves, rip currents, and breaking waves 13 to 18 feet.
- King Tides arrive December 2 - 7 and may lead to coastal
flooding.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
Issued at 139 AM PST Sat Nov 29 2025
(Today and tonight)
No major changes to the forecast for today outside of high
temperatures in the North and East Bay. The reason being, we`re
expecting stratus and Tule fog to persist across the region,
keeping temperatures regulated. Highs on Friday for these regions
peaked in the upper 40s to low 50s, though if there was clearing,
the mid to upper 50s were observed. Expect that to the be the case
again today for those regions and San Francisco, with warmer
temperatures elsewhere especially the Central Coast, where some
upper 60s to low 70s will be possible.
Stratus and fog should return again tonight, leading to another mild
night with temperatures near or just above normal for this time of
year.
&&
.LONG TERM...
Issued at 139 AM PST Sat Nov 29 2025
(Sunday through Friday)
More quiet weather is on tap through the extended forecast, with
cluster analysis showing weak ridging to semi-zonal flow through
Tue. Guidance then shows an upper level low, similar to an inside
slider type situation Wed into Thu favoring breezy offshore winds
for interior N Bay counties. Models then struggle for the late
portion of the work week and weekend and where that low goes and if
upper level high pressure can nose into the area. Right now,
guidance continues to keep us dry.
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 935 PM PST Fri Nov 28 2025
Low clouds and pockets of fog are reestablishing as winds reduce
into the night. Expect nearly widespread CIGs by the late night.
Slightly drier flow affects the region tomorrow with increasing
winds. This will offer earlier clearing times, and lead to
widespread VFR by the mid afternoon. Low CIGs return again into
Saturday night as winds reduce across the region.
Vicinity of SFO...Expect mostly light winds through the TAF
period. IFR CIGs are building around the SF Bay and look to become
more consistent later into the night. These CIGs scatter into the
late morning and cloud cover clears as winds turn northwest into
Saturday afternoon.
SFO Bridge Approach...Similar to SFO.
Monterey Bay Terminals...Low clouds and pockets of fog have formed
around the Monterey Bay and are affecting the terminals while
winds have become light. Cloud cover erodes into the late morning
as northwest winds build, but these winds look to become light and
variable into Saturday night.
&&
.MARINE...
(Tonight through next Thursday)
Issued at 935 PM PST Fri Nov 28 2025
Winds continue to decrease into the night, but will increase into
early Sunday. Hazardous marine conditions return in the late
weekend as swell heights increase. Winds increase and wave
heights build due to incoming long period westerly swell in the
mid work week.
&&
.BEACHES...
Issued at 139 AM PST Sat Nov 29 2025
Moderate to long period northwesterly swell will result in an
increased risk for sneaker waves and rip currents. Breaking waves
of 13 to 18 feet are expected. A beach hazards statement is in
effect for the coastline from Sonoma County to Monterey County
through 10 PM PST Sunday evening. Sneaker waves can unexpectedly
run significantly farther up the beach than normal, including over
rocks and jetties. Rip currents are typically more frequent and
stronger in the vicinity of jetties, inlets, and piers.
Dangerous beach conditions look to continue into early next week,
though there is some uncertainty as breaking wave heights flirt
with High Surf Advisory criteria. Stay tuned, as and remember,
never turn your back to the ocean.
&&
.MTR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...Beach Hazards Statement through Sunday evening for CAZ006-505-
509-529-530.
PZ...Small Craft Advisory from 3 AM to 9 PM PST Sunday for Pigeon Pt
to Pt Pinos 10-60 NM-Pt Arena to Pt Reyes 10-60 NM.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...KR
LONG TERM....KR
AVIATION...Murdock
MARINE...Murdock
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