456
FZNT25 KNHC 151521
OFFN04

NAVTEX Marine Forecast
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami, FL
1121 AM EDT Sat Jun 15 2024

...Please refer to Coastal Waters Forecasts (CWF) available
through NOAA Weather Radio and other means for detailed
Coastal Waters Forecasts...

Southeast Gulf of Mexico

.SYNOPSIS...A surface trough extending from N central Florida to
the Yucatan Peninsula will shift NW and dissipate through
tonight. A broad low to middle level cyclonic circulation, a
Central American Gyre, is centered over the Yucatan Peninsula
and Central America this morning, and is expected to become
better organized this weekend, as it drifts westward.
Environmental conditions appear conducive for a tropical cyclone
to develop from this broad area of low pressure, and a tropical
depression could form over the southwestern Gulf during the
middle part of next week. Active convection across the southeast
Gulf this morning, along with increasing winds and building
seas, are expected with this system in the early to mid part of
next week, mainly impacting the south-central and northwest
Gulf.

.THIS AFTERNOON...SE to S winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
Scattered showers and isolated tstms.
.TONIGHT...SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered
showers and isolated tstms.
.SUN...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered
showers and isolated tstms.
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Scattered
showers and isolated tstms.
.MON...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TUE...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.WED...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.

Within 200 nm east of the coast of Florida

.SYNOPSIS...Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms
persist east of a trough reaching from roughly 31N73W to central
Florida. Gusty winds, higher seas and frequent lightning remain
possible with this convective activity. To the east, 1030 mb
Atlantic high pressure is centered near 35N36W. The trough will
shift eastward and exit the region through early next week, with
 active convection continuing ahead of it. Looking ahead, expect
 fresh E winds west of 70W by late Tue, as high pressure builds
north of the area, behind the exiting trough.

.THIS AFTERNOON...SW winds 5 to 10 kt, shifting to NW to N in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft or less. Scattered showers and isolated
tstms.
.TONIGHT...NE winds 10 to 15 kt S of 27N, and N 5 to 10 kt N of
27N. Seas 2 ft or less.
.SUN...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt S of 27N, and NE 10 to 15 kt N
of 27N. Seas 2 ft or less.
.SUN NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.TUE...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.WED...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.