616
FXUS64 KOHX 020532
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1232 AM CDT Thu Oct 2 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1230 AM CDT Thu Oct 2 2025

- Dry with warmer than normal temperatures through at least this
  weekend.

- Low chance (20-30%) rain could return by Monday/Tuesday next
  week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Friday Night)
Issued at 1032 PM CDT Wed Oct 1 2025

Another pleasant night is upon us with mostly clear skies and
temperatures dropping into upper 50s to low 60s. An area of higher
pressure over the northeast is gradually dropping south, and with
surface winds remaining out of the ESE, slightly drier air will be
advected into the area. This will hamper fog development overnight,
keeping it confined to valleys. We`ll see temperatures just a few
degrees cooler tomorrow as the center of the ridge shifts east with
afternoon highs in the low to mid 80s and overnight temps in the
in the 50s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday through next Thursday)
Issued at 1032 PM CDT Wed Oct 1 2025

High pressure will continue to dominate our weather through the
weekend. We will see a gradual increase in moisture as the large
area of high pressure over the Atlantic starts to break down. This
increase in moisture will carry into next week, bringing low to
medium rain chances back into the forecast starting Monday. The
overall upper air pattern beyond Sunday favors temperates closer
to seasonal norms (near 80) as well as better rain chances.
Tonight`s guidance suggests a cold front moving through the area
sometime during the Tuesday-Thursday timeframe, and though it`s
far too early to discuss specifics, it is a safe bet to maintain
widespread 30% rain chances at this time.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1230 AM CDT Thu Oct 2 2025

Quiet weather will continue with VFR conditions through the TAF
period. There is a low chance for patchy fog over the Plateau
until 13z and may bring periods of MVFR/IFR/LIFR conditions.
Light winds tonight becoming southerly after 14z up to 8 knots.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      88  60  85  57 /   0   0   0   0
Clarksville    90  60  86  56 /  10   0   0   0
Crossville     78  52  77  50 /   0   0   0   0
Columbia       86  57  83  54 /   0   0   0   0
Cookeville     81  56  79  53 /   0   0   0   0
Jamestown      79  54  78  52 /   0   0   0   0
Lawrenceburg   84  56  82  53 /   0   0   0   0
Murfreesboro   85  58  83  54 /   0   0   0   0
Waverly        87  59  84  56 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Baggett
LONG TERM....Baggett
AVIATION.....Mueller