739
FXUS64 KOHX 070021
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
621 PM CST Sat Dec 6 2025

...New UPDATE...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 620 PM CST Sat Dec 6 2025

- Low to medium chances for light rain by Sunday evening with a
  rain/snow mix possible late Sunday night into Monday morning.
  No accumulations expected.

- Continued below-normal temperatures through the next several
  days.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 620 PM CST Sat Dec 6 2025

Quiet, seasonably chilly conditions will continue tonight. Skies
are mainly clear early this evening, except lingering low clouds
along the KY border. Patchy low clouds may fill in again late
night over the west half and some higher clouds will move in as
well. Eastern sections should stay mostly clear with some patchy
fog. Lows will be mostly lower 30s.

Clouds will thicken up again daytime Sunday as the next wave
approaches with light mainly liquid precipitation by Sunday
night.

No major forecast changes are needed at this time, just updates
for hourly trends.


&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Sunday)
Issued at 1027 AM CST Sat Dec 6 2025

Stratus will continue to keep us cooler than expected the next few
days. We could see some clearing into the early evening, but I`m a
bit uncertain on that right now and how much that would allow us to
warm with the sunset being so early nowadays. Lows tonight will be
in the upper 20s to low 30s.

Winds will shift bringing warmer air into the mid-state that will be
a bit more successful in warming us. Expect highs in the upper 40s
to low 50s for Sunday. Sunday will be another overcast day, with
some rain chances beginning in the evening hours. Overall, the PoPs
are low to medium (20 - 50%), but amounts will be very light. It`s
almost like this will be more drizzle than rain that`s how light the
QPF is. Overnight into Monday morning, this rain will changeover
into some snow showers thanks to a cold front. Sorry for all you
snow lovers though, as no accumulations are expected.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday Night through next Saturday)
Issued at 1027 AM CST Sat Dec 6 2025

After our dreary weekend, high pressure will attempt to build in
into the beginning of the work week, driving temperatures into the
50s for highs. This story changes mid-week, as a trough is expected
to dig south and bring more rain chances to Middle Tennessee. There
remains some uncertainty with exact impacts of this system due to
discrepancies in the guidance, so stay tuned as we refine the
forecast.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 521 PM CST Sat Dec 6 2025

All terminals west of the Cumberland Plateau are battling the low
clouds this evening, and will likely continue into tomorrow before
we finally go VFR by late morning or early afternoon. (CKV will
likely remain at least MVFR thru the TAF period.) KCSV and KSRB
should stay VFR. A weak surface high is in the process of sliding
to the east of Middle Tennessee this evening, so look for winds to
pick up from the south after 12Z tomorrow. Any active weather
with our next system will likely hold off until sometime after
00Z tomorrow night.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      34  50  35  43 /  10  20  20  10
Clarksville    34  48  32  41 /  10  20  20   0
Crossville     29  48  33  39 /   0  10  50  10
Columbia       32  50  36  44 /   0  10  30   0
Cookeville     31  48  34  39 /   0  20  50  10
Jamestown      29  47  32  38 /   0  20  50  10
Lawrenceburg   32  50  36  44 /   0  10  20   0
Murfreesboro   31  49  36  43 /  10  10  30   0
Waverly        34  49  32  41 /  10  20  20   0

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

UPDATE.......13
SHORT TERM...Holley
LONG TERM....Holley
AVIATION.....Rose