296
FXUS66 KOTX 092350
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
350 PM PST Sun Nov 9 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Low impact weather through Wednesday

- Windy and wet Thursday into Friday

- Mountain snow Thursday evening into Friday

&&

.SYNOPSIS...
The weekend into the much of next week will bring a break in
the wet weather with continued mild temperatures for November.
Wet and windy weather returns Thursday and Friday with snow
on the mountain passes starting Thursday night.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Today through Tuesday: With the ridge axis centered over Washington,
conditions through tomorrow morning will remain dry and a few
degrees warmer than usual. With cloud cover expected to prevail
through the night, overall fog chances are low. However, should any
clearing occur, patchy fog could form since dew point depressions
are only a few degrees and winds are expected to remain light.
Tomorrow morning, a shortwave embedded within the flow will result
in a front passing across the area. While PWATs will rise to nearly
200% of normal, they will do so very briefly, resulting in light
precipitation with only mountain areas having a 50 percent chance or
higher of seeing totals higher than a wetting rain (0.1 inches)
on Monday. With snow levels above 8000 feet, much of this
precipitation will fall as rain. Very light showers are expected
on Tuesday, and the front will move out of the area by the end
of the day.

Wednesday through Friday: By Wednesday afternoon, a low pressure
system will approach the PNW coast, bringing chances for more
widespread precipitation through Friday. PWATs will rise again to
nearly 200% of normal, bringing widespread precipitation to the
area on Thursday. When looking at probabilities for 0.25 inches
of rain, there is a 30 percent chance or higher for most areas,
with the exception being the Waterville Plateau and Moses Lake
areas. Snow levels will be lower for this storm, giving mountain
passes a much higher chance of seeing snow. Stevens and
Washington Passes have a 50 percent chance of seeing four inches
of snow or more, and Lookout Pass has a 25 percent chance.
Additionally, as the cold front moves through on Thursday, winds
will be a bit breezy across much of the area. Chances of seeing
30 mph as a highest gust are 30 percent and above regionwide.
This trough will move out of the area by Friday night.

Saturday through Monday: Right off the heels of the previous trough,
long range models are showing another trough moving through the area
Sunday into Monday. Cluster analysis shows good agreement with
another trough moving through, with all clusters showing lower
heights Sunday into Monday. PWATs will rise to 100-150 percent of
normal. This additional shot of moisture, while not as strong as the
previous trough, will bring another round of precipitation. More
importantly, it will result in additional snow to mountain
passes. Washington and Stevens Passes have a 50 percent and
higher chance of seeing six or more inches of snow from Saturday
to Monday afternoon, with Lookout Pass having a 40 percent
chance. Should models continue favoring this setup, winter
weather headlines may be needed next weekend for mountain
passes, so stay tuned. /AS

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAFS: VFR conditions will prevail through the forecast
period. Mid and high level clouds will be present through the
day, limiting chances for fog tomorrow morning. Winds will be
mostly light. Around 18Z, a front will move through, bringing
lower ceilings to all TAF sites and rain chances to
KGEG/KSFF/KCOE, and later at 21Z for KPUW. Chances for rain
continue into the next forecast period, until 03-06Z.

.FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND/OR ALTERNATE SCENARIOS:
High confidence for VFR conditions to persist. High confidence
in rain with a front moving through. Low confidence in fog
formation tomorrow morning. However if skies clear out tonight,
fog chances increase due to very light winds and high dewpoints.



-----------------------

Confidence descriptors:
Low - Less than a 30 percent chance
Moderate - 30 to 70 percent chance
High - Greater than a 70 percent chance

For additional probabilistic information for NWS Spokane airports,
please refer to the Aviation Dashboard on our webpage:
https:/www.weather.gov/otx/avndashboard

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
Spokane        37  50  34  49  35  51 /   0  40  10   0  10  20
Coeur d`Alene  38  52  36  48  36  51 /   0  50  30   0  10  30
Pullman        39  55  38  52  39  56 /   0  30  30   0  10  20
Lewiston       43  60  42  57  44  60 /   0  10  20   0  10  10
Colville       30  49  27  47  29  48 /   0  40  10   0  10  40
Sandpoint      34  49  34  47  34  48 /   0  80  40  20  20  50
Kellogg        43  54  41  50  39  55 /   0  60  70  30  20  30
Moses Lake     36  52  29  50  36  52 /   0  10   0   0   0  10
Wenatchee      40  53  37  51  39  50 /   0  20   0   0   0  20
Omak           35  49  33  49  35  47 /  10  10   0   0   0  10

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WA...None.
ID...None.

&&

$$