641
FXUS66 KOTX 102348
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
348 PM PST Mon Nov 10 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Low impact weather through Wednesday

- Windy and wet Thursday into Friday

- Mountain snow late Thursday through the weekend

&&

.SYNOPSIS...
Dry, mild conditions continue into the middle of the week. Wet
and windy weather returns Thursday and Friday with snow on the
mountain passes starting Thursday night and lasting into Sunday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Monday afternoon through Tuesday: A wave of moisture moving across
the region will continue to bring light showers over parts of
central and eastern WA and the ID panhandle through Monday evening.
Snow levels will drop from around 7k feet Monday evening to 4k feet
by Tuesday morning. For lowlands, skies will clear and conditions
will be dry Monday evening into Tuesday, but for the Cascades,
precip will continue into Tuesday morning, gradually changing from
rain to snow. Mountain snow will be light enough that little to no
accumulation is expected. With clear skies and light winds across
much of the region east of the Cascades, conditions will be
favorable for fog development Monday night into Tuesday morning
particularly in the sheltered valleys of northeastern WA and North
ID. There is also fog potential in the Spokane/Coeur d`Alene area.
By late Tuesday morning, lowland fog will lift and mountain precip
will dwindle making for a dry, sunny day.

Wednesday through Friday: A deep, slow-moving trough crawls inland
over the second half of the week bringing a round of widespread
precipitation in the form of mountain snow and lowland rain.
Ensembles show some variation on the strength and track of the
trough, but there is general agreement on higher snow amounts for
the Cascades with this trough. Models continue to trend higher with
snow amounts, with latest runs giving Stevens and Washington Passes
4 to 8 inches through Friday evening. Lower amounts are anticipated
for the ID Panhandle and northern mountains with 1 to 3 inches in
the forecast for Sherman and Lookout Passes. Lowlands will see
mostly rain, though the timing of the system may allow a few
snowflakes to mix in Thursday night into early Friday morning. High
temperatures will be in upper 40s to upper 50s Monday through
Thursday, then will drop 5 to 10 degrees Friday.

Saturday and Sunday: Ensembles are coming into better agreement on
another system impacting the region late Saturday into Sunday
bringing widespread precip and lower snow levels than are expected
with the mid-week system. Snow levels are forecast to drop to around
2.5k feet through the weekend. We will continue to monitor this
system as it approaches. /Fewkes

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAFS: VFR conditions will prevail through around 14Z, with
one exception. KMWH is currently at MVFR right now, but looks
to improve to VFR by around 02Z. A rain band is moving through
KGEG/KSFF/KCOE/KPUW/KLWS. Rain for KGEG/KSFF/KCOE will end
within the next couple hours, but will last longer for
KPUW/KLWS, lasting until 03Z and 06Z, respectively. PUW is
showing some signal of going down to MVFR with the rain, but
chances are low, so it is in a PROB30 category through 03Z, then
anticipated to be VFR afterwards. With clearing expected behind
the front alongside small dew point depression values and low
winds, fog is becoming more likely in the KGEG/KSFF/KCOE areas,
with some high-res models showing ceilings degrading around 14Z.
KLWS/KMWH/KEAT are anticipated to remain at VFR for the
forecast period.

.FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND/OR ALTERNATE SCENARIOS:
High confidence for VFR conditions to persist for KLWS/KMWH/KEAT
from 03Z onward. Moderate confidence in rain timing. High
confidence in VFR conditions for KGEG/KSFF/KCOE through 14Z,
then chances of fog increase in the morning, with a moderate
chance of fog formation.
-----------------------

Confidence descriptors:
Low - Less than a 30 percent chance
Moderate - 30 to 70 percent chance
High - Greater than a 70 percent chance

For additional probabilistic information for NWS Spokane airports,
please refer to the Aviation Dashboard on our webpage:
https:/www.weather.gov/otx/avndashboard

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
Spokane        34  49  36  52  40  55 /  10   0  20  30  40  80
Coeur d`Alene  36  49  37  53  42  54 /  30   0  20  40  40  80
Pullman        39  54  41  58  47  57 /  50   0  20  20  30  80
Lewiston       43  58  45  63  48  62 /  30   0  10  10  20  70
Colville       33  45  35  46  38  49 /   0   0  10  50  60  90
Sandpoint      35  44  36  48  40  51 /  20  10  30  60  60  90
Kellogg        41  51  41  57  47  57 /  80  10  30  50  40  90
Moses Lake     30  49  37  53  40  55 /   0   0  10  20  40  70
Wenatchee      37  52  40  51  42  52 /   0   0  10  20  60  80
Omak           35  47  37  47  41  48 /   0   0   0  20  50  90

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WA...None.
ID...None.

&&

$$