827
FXUS64 KOUN 021754
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
1154 AM CST Sun Nov 2 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1151 AM CST Sun Nov 2 2025

  - Warm and dry conditions are expected in the coming week.

&&

.NEAR TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 1147 AM CST Sun Nov 2 2025

Clear skies will continue through the rest of the near-term period.
Southerly winds will be breezy at times this afternoon in western
Oklahoma and western north Texas where surface troughing has begun
to develop. Otherwise, temperatures will continue to moderate
relative to the last few days in part due to the influence of an
approaching ridge.

Meister

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Monday through Tuesday night)
Issued at 1147 AM CST Sun Nov 2 2025

The subtropical ridge will translate eastward and expand in
wavelength from tomorrow morning through Tuesday night. Our area
will remain on the southern periphery of the mid-latitude
westerlies, but enough influence is expected from the ridging to
keep things on the sunny/clear side. Winds will be somewhat light
and varied tomorrow with a weak frontal boundary potentially
reaching northern Oklahoma early in the day. This will keep
temperatures closer to 70 along and north of a line from Stillwater
to Woodward. Further south of the boundary, the ridge`s influence
will allow temperatures to soar well into the 70s to low 80s.

Southerly winds will return on Tuesday and could get rather breezy,
especially along the I-44 corridor. Fire weather is not expected to
be a concern near I-44 despite recent frost/potential curing of
grasses, in part because limited moisture return (dewpoints in the
40s to 50s) will occur. In western Oklahoma, west of the likeliest
moisture return axis, elevated fire weather conditions are possible.
Area-wide temperatures will range from the mid-70s to low-80s
Tuesday afternoon.

Meister

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through Saturday)
Issued at 1245 AM CDT Sun Nov 2 2025

Above-average temperatures and dry surface conditions will remain
the main story into the midweek and beyond. The upper air pattern
will generally feature quasi-zonal flow, with potential for an
upper ridge to traverse portions of the north-central CONUS by
Thursday. Daytime temperature departures look to continue running
+15-25 degrees during the period, with multiple days of 80+
degree high temperatures continuing across the Red River Valley.
Outside of a very low (10-20%) chance for precipitation across
northeastern Oklahoma on Friday morning, associated with a passing
wave across the Plains, dry weather is currently favored.

Ungar

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1151 AM CST Sun Nov 2 2025

VFR conditions will prevail through 18Z Monday. A breezy southerly
wind this afternoon will decrease around sunset. Early Monday, a
weak frontal boundary will move across parts of northern and
western Oklahoma. This should mainly provide a weak wind shift at
CSM/WWR/PNC/SWO.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  65  47  73  52 /   0   0   0   0
Hobart OK         71  45  77  49 /   0   0   0   0
Wichita Falls TX  72  47  79  49 /   0   0   0   0
Gage OK           71  42  70  49 /   0   0   0   0
Ponca City OK     64  43  70  51 /   0   0   0   0
Durant OK         67  46  76  49 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

NEAR TERM...04
SHORT TERM...04
LONG TERM....09
AVIATION...06