883
FXUS64 KOUN 180719
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
219 AM CDT Tue Jun 18 2024

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 216 AM CDT Tue Jun 18 2024

Gusty southerly winds will continue through most of the day as
the surface pressure gradient increases. A few locations across
northwestern Oklahoma may see gusts around 40 mph, but most
locations across the area will see gusts around 30-35 mph. Cloud
cover will gradually diminish through the afternoon, helping high
temperatures get to the upper 80s to low 90s. Thunderstorms across
southwestern Kansas may attempt to move into northwest Oklahoma
during the late portions of the afternoon. There is a low chance
that these storms are severe as they move into the area. Damaging
wind gusts is the main hazard.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through Monday)
Issued at 216 AM CDT Tue Jun 18 2024

Storm chances will continue into the overnight hours across
portions of western and northern Oklahoma, but any storm will be
decreasing in intensity the further into Oklahoma it goes. Surface
winds will relax late Tuesday night into Wednesday. High
temperatures during the middle of the week will stay in the upper
80s to low 90s, before a warming trend into the weekend. Mid-level
ridging will slowly move eastward over our area over the weekend
and into next week. With the rise in high temperatures during the
latter parts of the period, heat advisory criteria may be met.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1110 PM CDT Mon Jun 17 2024

Stratus with MVFR ceilings is still expected to develop and spread
across the area overnight. Winds will still be pretty strong by
nighttime standards overnight. Despite the surface winds, the
low-level jet is still expected to be strong enough to have more
than the 30 knot wind shear to include low-level wind shear in the
KWWR TAF.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  88  72  89  70 /   0   0  10  10
Hobart OK         90  71  89  69 /  10  10  10  20
Wichita Falls TX  90  72  89  70 /   0   0  10  20
Gage OK           92  69  89  65 /   0  20  40  20
Ponca City OK     90  72  91  69 /   0  10  20  10
Durant OK         90  71  87  72 /  10   0  10  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...13
LONG TERM....13
AVIATION...26