656
FXUS63 KPAH 210744
AFDPAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
144 AM CST Fri Nov 21 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- More beneficial rain is expected today, additional rainfall
  around 0.25-1" expected by Saturday morning.

- Dry weather expected for the weekend before more rain returns
  Monday into Tuesday.

- Temperatures cool down for Thanksgiving next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 143 AM CST Fri Nov 21 2025

A weak warm front is currently stalled out across the area as a sfc
low tracks through the region today. This will bring more chances
for scattered to numerous showers and storms today. Some drier mid-
level air could bring a lull in activity in the afternoon before
another round of rain passes through during the evening and
overnight. Severe threat is very limited due to the lack of
instability and weak lapse rates. Additional rainfall amounts around
0.25-1" are possible.

High pressure builds in this weekend and helps us to dry out
with highs in the 50s and 60s. Early next week another trof
aloft ejects into the Plains. This system brings another round
of wet weather for Monday into Tuesday as a sfc low tracks
through the Midwest. This sfc low will bring a cold front
through the area Tuesday. Behind the front colder and drier air
fills in. By Wednesday night, broad, longwave troughing aloft
takes over pulling down much cooler air into the region in time
for Thanksgiving and beyond. Expect temperatures for
Thanksgiving to be below normal.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 1139 PM CST Thu Nov 20 2025

IFR to LIFR cigs expected through the TAF period, except
KEVV/KOWB will have low VFR until 08z. Vsbys at KCGI/KPAH/KMVN
will vary from low MVFR to LIFR through 13z with fog and light
rain, with KEVV/KOWB predominantly MVFR. After 13z, MVFR to VFR
vsbys with light rain and fog expected at all sites. Light and
variable winds overnight will become south to southeast at
5-10kts after 13z, then returning to light and variable after
00z.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM CST this morning for ILZ075-
     080>082-084>086-088>090-092>094.
MO...Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM CST this morning for MOZ076-086-
     087-100-107>112-114.
IN...None.
KY...Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM CST this morning for KYZ001>009.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...HICKFORD
AVIATION...RST