367
FXUS63 KPAH 081735
AFDPAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
1135 AM CST Mon Dec 8 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Colder temperatures can be expected today, with much warmer
  conditions Tuesday into Wednesday.

- Small chances of light rain return late Tuesday night into
  Wednesday morning for mainly southwest Indiana and northwest
  Kentucky.

- There are small chances of light snow and/or light rain
  Thursday into Friday from southwest Indiana into the Pennyrile
  and portions of southeast Illinois, but no accumulations are
  expected.

- Colder temperatures return for late week, and very cold
  conditions arrive for the weekend, with wind chills as low as
  -5 to +10 degrees.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1135 AM CST Mon Dec 8 2025

Updated Aviation discussion for the 18z TAF issuance.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 210 AM CST Mon Dec 8 2025

Any lingering sprinkles or flurries will end by 12z, and clouds
will gradually decrease through the day as drier and colder air
spreads into the region. Highs today will only reach the middle
30s to around 40 degrees, with lows tonight in the middle to
upper 20s. Winds will shift to the south tonight, and along with
lots of sunshine, temperatures Tuesday will return to near
seasonable readings in the upper 40s to lower 50s, with highs
Wednesday even a few degrees warmer.

It will become breezy Tuesday continuing into Wednesday ahead
of our next system. Models show a low pressure system moving
from the upper Mississippi valley into the southern Great Lakes
region, dragging a cold front through the PAH forecast area
late Tuesday night through the day Wednesday. Winds will be out
of the south to southwest at 10 to 20 mph with gusts of 25 to 30
mph Tuesday and Tuesday night, shifting to the northwest behind
the front Wednesday and gradually decreasing late the day. As
for precipitation, a few light rain showers will be possible
late Tuesday night into Wednesday morning mainly in southwest
Indiana and northwest Kentucky, with the rest of our region
remaining dry.

Colder air will arrive behind the front, and another weak cold
front will move through our area Thursday into Friday. This
front will bring in even colder air, it may squeeze out some
light snow/flurries mainly from southwest Indiana through the
Pennyrile region and adjacent portions of southeast Illinois.
Moisture will be lacking, and no accumulations or impacts are
expected.

Cold high pressure will build in from the northwest over the
weekend. Friday night and Saturday will be our coldest period,
with lows Friday night ranging from 8 degrees north to 18
degrees south, with highs Saturday mostly in the 20s to around
30 degrees. Combined with winds at 5-10mph, wind chill readings
will range from -5 to +10 degrees Friday night into Saturday
morning. Lows Saturday night will be similar to Friday night,
but with a little less wind, wind chills will bottom out in the
0 to +12 range. Highs Sunday will be around 5 degrees warmer
than Saturday.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY/...
Issued at 1135 AM CST Mon Dec 8 2025

MVFR low stratus will continue to gradually erode from west to
east this afternoon, with clearing expected at EVV and OWB
between 20-22z. VFR conditions are expected thereafter for the
rest of the forecast period. As high pressure briefly centers
over the region, ongoing NW winds around 4-8 kts will will
become light and variable after 00z Tuesday. By 06-12z, winds
will shift to the southwest as return flow increases, sustained
at 8-12 kts with gusts up to 15-20 kts possible after 12z.


&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...None.
MO...None.
IN...None.
KY...None.

&&

$$

UPDATE...DWS
DISCUSSION...RST
AVIATION...DWS