304
FXUS63 KPAH 072332
AFDPAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
532 PM CST Sun Dec 7 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Drizzle and maybe some flurries possible this evening and
  overnight.

- Warm up on Tuesday and Wednesday after a brief cold day on
  Monday. Could see 50s on Wednesday!

- PoPs increase Wednesday night into Thursday morning with
  system over the Great Lakes. Snow, wintry mix, and showers all
  possible.

- Cold end to the week. Highs as low as the 20s and 30s.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 533 PM CST Sun Dec 7 2025

Updated the aviation section for the 00Z TAF issuance.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 115 PM CST Sun Dec 7 2025

A weak cold front is making its way through the area today, keeping
low clouds in place across the region. CAMs are once again showing
the potential for drizzle across western portions of the area this
evening as an upper level wave moves through, and shifting east
overnight. Some flurries could make an appearance overnight. Little
to no impacts are expected.

Cold northwest flow on Monday keeps highs down, generally in the
30s. Sfc high pressure shifts east Monday night and returns
southerly winds. Expect a good warm up on Tuesday and Wednesday with
highs in the mid to upper 40s Tuesday, and upper 40s to 50s on
Wednesday.

Ahead of the next cold front, winds will be breezy Tuesday afternoon
through Wednesday as the front moves through and shifts winds to the
northwest. Colder air settles in by Wednesday night. Wednesday
night, the attendant sfc low moves through the Great Lakes. PoPs
start to increase Wednesday night into Thursday morning over the
eastern 2/3 of the CWA. PoPs then shift east Thursday afternoon and
taper off Thursday night. Initial precip type is snow for
southwest IN, northern portions of southern IL, and becomes
more of a rain/snow mix further south towards the Ohio River.
Showers and a wintry mix will prevail Thursday afternoon and
evening as things taper off. Any impacts should be minimal as
rain mixes in. A very light dusting is not out of the question
in the northern most areas.

High pressure fills in on the backside of this system with cold
northwest flow aloft. Expect much colder temperatures for the
weekend. Highs in the 20s and 30s Friday. Highs in the 20s Saturday
and Sunday.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY/...
Issued at 533 PM CST Sun Dec 7 2025

MVFR cigs cover all but the northernmost portion of the Quad
State, with IFR cigs (or borderline MVFR) passing through this
evening. Some development of precipitation is likely but may
just stay in the realm of sprinkles/flurries to light rain/snow
with no appreciable accumulation. Vsby drops to MVFR are likely
to accompany any precipitation. Skies clear up during the day
with low level clouds dissipating as high pressure brings calm
winds to the area.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...None.
MO...None.
IN...None.
KY...None.

&&

$$

UPDATE...ATL
DISCUSSION...HICKFORD
AVIATION...ATL