Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Pendleton, OR
Issued by NWS Pendleton, OR
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901 FXUS66 KPDT 230552 AFDPDT Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Pendleton OR 952 PM PST Sat Nov 22 2025 .UPDATED AVIATION...06Z TAFs...While most sites are in VFR through this evening, low CIGs and fog/mist will be the main concern for KYKM/KPSC thus dropping them to LIFR overnight into Sunday morning. However, fog may return Sunday evening for KYKM. Other than that, light rain may develop starting around Sunday afternoon over KDLS/KPDT/KALW/KPSC when the frontal passage arrives (30% confidence). Feaster/97 && .PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 229 PM PST Sat Nov 22 2025/ .DISCUSSION...Low stratus continues to blanket much of the lower Columbia Basin, Yakima and Walla Walla, and Wallowa valleys. Elsewhere, skies are mostly clear to partly cloudy as we await the arrival of a Pacific cold front Sunday. Have included a mention of patchy fog in the forecast overnight into Sunday morning for the aforementioned areas as confidence is high (80 percent) that the inversion will persist. Snow levels will drop Sunday afternoon through Sunday night as the cold front sweeps across the region. No winter highlights are in effect, but do have medium-high confidence (60-80 percent) in one-half inch to two inches of snow for mountain passes in the Cascades and northern Blue Mountains. Breezy westerly winds of 10-20 mph accompanied by gusts of 20-35 mph are forecast late Sunday afternoon through Monday. Tuesday afternoon through Thursday, uncertainty in forecast details is still present as ensemble guidance struggles to resolve features of a progressive weather pattern, including the magnitude and axis of moisture transport into the Pacific Northwest, focusing mechanisms for precipitation (fronts, surface lows, etc.), and any wintry precipitation. Will note the NBM suggests a low probability (5-20 percent) of 1 inch or greater snowfall for the 48-hr period ending 4 PM PST Thursday for the Yakima, Kittitas, and Grande Ronde valleys. In the eastern half of the Columbia Basin and farther south into central Oregon, guidance is more confident in a warmer air mass, resulting in very low probabilities of measurable snowfall (less than 5 percent). While probabilities are still quite low (up to 10 percent), the synoptic pattern does support some potential for measurable freezing rain Tuesday night and Wednesday in sheltered valleys along the east side of the Washington Cascades as warm air overrides colder air at the surface. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... PDT 35 53 32 47 / 0 20 70 10 ALW 39 52 35 46 / 0 40 80 20 PSC 34 54 32 50 / 0 20 40 0 YKM 35 53 27 49 / 10 30 20 0 HRI 34 53 33 49 / 0 20 50 0 ELN 34 49 29 44 / 20 50 30 10 RDM 27 54 24 45 / 0 20 40 0 LGD 34 53 30 43 / 0 20 90 20 GCD 31 55 29 44 / 0 10 60 10 DLS 40 52 37 50 / 10 60 50 20 && .PDT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OR...None. WA...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...86 LONG TERM....86 AVIATION...97