Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Pendleton, OR
Issued by NWS Pendleton, OR
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839 FXUS66 KPDT 120546 AFDPDT Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Pendleton OR 946 PM PST Tue Nov 11 2025 .UPDATED AVIATION...06Z TAFs...Most sites are currently in VFR except for KALW being in LIFR due to low clouds and fog/mist. VSBYs and/or CIGs for KALW/KPSC may drop to MVFR conditions or lower from the low clouds and/or fog/mist. However, this should improve around late Wednesday morning (18Z). Will continue monitoring to see the extent of the fog/mist over KALW/KPSC and other sites, if further materializes through the rest of this evening. Winds will be less than 10kts. Feaster/97 && .PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 230 PM PST Tue Nov 11 2025/ .DISCUSSION...Clear skies with some high cloud bases entering the southern part of the CWA near Central OR. Most of the fog we observed from earlier this morning has since been lifted. We will continue to be under the influence of a ridge over the next day, that will continue our pattern of dry and light conditions save for some mountain rain showers over the Cascades. Abundant upper level moisture coupled with the increases influences of an incoming trough will bring overcast skies through the night. Though I`m a little less confident on the fog tomorrow morning (10-15% chance) given the overcast skies, but none the less I still put in some areas of patchy due to low level confidence, but not expecting it to be as widespread as we saw this morning. As we head into Thursday through Friday, a stationary front will influence the pattern and increase coverage of precipitation through the region. Every area by late Thursday evening/early Friday morning will see 40-60% chances of PoP. This will mostly be a rain event, but snow showers look to develop in the Cascades and parts of the Eastern mountains as snow levels drop to 4500 to 5500 feet with accumulation looking to top of at around an inch (50-70% chance) in the highest crests of the Cascades. Things will dry out mostly in the Basin by the weekend due to a ridge developing around the trough, creating a cut off low in southern California through New Mexico. Although the Basin will dry out through the weekend, instability from the cut off low will be just enough to allow mountain snow and rain showers to continue. Any sort of break from the precipitation will be short lived with another shortwave forming off the coast by the beginning of the work week and will continue the wet pattern, along with mountain snow showers at 5000 to 6000 feet. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... PDT 39 56 41 63 / 0 0 10 60 ALW 42 54 44 62 / 10 10 10 60 PSC 37 54 37 57 / 10 10 10 50 YKM 39 54 39 56 / 10 10 20 70 HRI 40 54 40 58 / 0 0 10 50 ELN 36 51 36 53 / 20 20 30 80 RDM 40 64 44 63 / 0 0 10 50 LGD 44 62 47 63 / 0 0 0 60 GCD 43 66 47 66 / 0 0 10 60 DLS 45 56 45 57 / 10 10 40 90 && .PDT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OR...None. WA...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...95 LONG TERM....95 AVIATION...97