Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
611 FNUS55 KPSR 190838 FWFPSR Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest and South-Central Arizona and Southeast California National Weather Service Phoenix AZ 138 AM MST Wed Jun 19 2024 .DISCUSSION... A large change in weather over the eastern districts will occur Thursday morning with unusually strong southeast winds pulling higher moisture levels into Arizona. Southeast winds of 20 to 30 mph and gusts in excess of 40 mph will be possible with this moisture surge through mid afternoon. While western districts will remain dry with afternoon humidity levels in a 10-15% range following poor to fair overnight recovery of 20-40%, eastern districts will improve such that afternoon values do not fall below 25% with good overnight recovery. For Thursday afternoon and evening, scattered storms are likely over mountain areas with isolated storms and gusty erratic winds into the south- central AZ lower deserts. ...Thunderstorms imply gusty winds... Note...Additional Fire Weather Forecast information can be found in the Area Forecast Discussion. See product PHXAFDPSR. AZZ132-192045- West Central Deserts/Northwest Maricopa County/Greater Phoenix Area/Southwest Deserts/Southwest Maricopa County/ Northwest and North-Central Pinal County- Phoenix BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ- 138 AM MST Wed Jun 19 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................98-105. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................10-14 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......8900 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......Southwest 6 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Good. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................70-80. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees warmer. * Max Humidity....................23-34 pct. * 24 hr trend..................11 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 20 mph in the evening becoming 20 to 30 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .THURSDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................105-112. * 24 hr trend..................7 degrees warmer. * Min Humidity....................8-16 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..East 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming south 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 20 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......14300 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......Southeast 17 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Excellent. .EXTENDED... .FRIDAY...Mostly clear with chance of showers. Lows 77-87. Highs 106-113. Southeast winds 15 to 25 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Lows 80-90. Highs 103-109. Southeast winds 5 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Lows 81-91. Highs 104-110. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers. Lows 81-91. Highs 106-111. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 82-92. Highs 108-113. $$ AZZ131-CAZ231-192045- Yuma/Martinez Lake and Vicinity/Lower Colorado River Valley AZ- Lower Colorado River Valley CA- 138 AM MST Wed Jun 19 2024 /138 AM PDT Wed Jun 19 2024/ .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................100-105. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................11-15 pct. * 24 hr trend..................4 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........7900 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........South 10 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Good. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................70-75. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................29-40 pct. * 24 hr trend..................13 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .THURSDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................106-111. * 24 hr trend..................5 degrees warmer. * Min Humidity....................9-13 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming southwest in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........8500 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........South 7 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Good. .EXTENDED... .FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 75-84. Highs 109-114. South winds 10 to 20 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 80-86. Highs 105-110. South winds 10 to 20 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 82-87. Highs 107-112. South winds 10 to 20 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 82-87. Highs 109-114. .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 83-88. Highs 111-116. $$ AZZ133-192045- Southern Gila County/Tonto National Forest Foothills- Southern Tonto NF/West San Carlos BIA/South Portion Ft Apache BIA/ CAZ- 138 AM MST Wed Jun 19 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................88-102. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees warmer. * Min Humidity....................10-14 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming southwest 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................65-76. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees warmer. * Max Humidity....................36-56 pct. * 24 hr trend..................10 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 10 mph in the evening becoming east 5 to 15 mph after midnight. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 20 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .THURSDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny in the morning becoming partly sunny in the afternoon. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................90-108. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees warmer. * Min Humidity....................18-27 pct. * 24 hr trend..................11 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 15 to 25 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 25 to 35 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent in the morning becoming 20 percent in the afternoon. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................10 percent. * LAL.............................1 in the morning becoming 2 in the afternoon. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .FRIDAY...Breezy. Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 68-81. Highs 87-104. Southeast winds 20 to 30 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows 68-83. Highs 90-105. East winds 10 to 20 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 68-83. Highs 91-106. North winds 5 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 68-84. Highs 93-107. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 69-85. Highs 95-109. $$ CAZ232-192045- Imperial County And Eastern Riverside County- 138 AM PDT Wed Jun 19 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................95-105. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................9-14 pct. * 24 hr trend..................4 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................72-78. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................21-41 pct. * 24 hr trend..................6 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .THURSDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................100-109. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees warmer. * Min Humidity....................8-12 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming southwest in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 75-85. Highs 104-113. West winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 78-89. Highs 102-111. Southeast winds 5 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 82-90. Highs 104-113. South winds 10 to 20 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 83-90. Highs 105-115. .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 82-90. Highs 107-117. $$ CAZ230-192045- Joshua Tree National Park- 138 AM PDT Wed Jun 19 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................84-98. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................10-16 pct. * 24 hr trend..................6 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................61-73. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................22-29 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph in the evening becoming northwest 5 to 10 mph after midnight. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the evening becoming south 5 to 15 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .THURSDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................88-103. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees warmer. * Min Humidity....................9-14 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northeast 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming south 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 66-80. Highs 92-107. West winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 69-84. Highs 92-106. South winds 10 to 20 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 72-86. Highs 94-108. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph. .MONDAY...Clear. Lows 73-86. Highs 94-109. .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 72-86. Highs 96-111. $$ .8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...Wednesday June 26th through Friday June 28th: Above normal temperatures and near median precipitation.