822
FXUS65 KPUB 262118
AFDPUB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
218 PM MST Wed Nov 26 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Dry with seasonal temperatures for Thanksgiving, then above
  normal temperatures for Friday.

- Pattern change for Friday night through Monday, with
  significantly colder temperatures and increasing chances for
  precipitation.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Issued at 204 PM MST Wed Nov 26 2025

Currently...satellite imagery this afternoon shows broad
northwesterly flow aloft spreading high level cirrus across
southern Colorado. Temperatures have been slow to warm across
the Plains with mainly 40s so far. The warmest conditions are
along the Eastern Mountain lee slopes with mid 50s. Areas over
the Central Mountains are seeing gusty winds near 40 to 50 mph.

Tonight...the upper low over Wisconsin will continue to shift
east, while upper ridging buildings in from the west. The upper
level cloud cover is forecast to shift eastward as the upper
trough shifts east. Overnight lows will fall into the lower to
mid 20s across the Plains, and teens over the San Luis Valley.
Winds over the Central Mountains will also dissipate by Thursday
morning.

Thanksgiving...expect a nice day across southern Colorado!
Temperatures will slowly warm into the upper 40s to mid 50s
across the lower elevations. Winds will generally be light and
southeasterly across the Plains.  Mozley

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Issued at 300 AM MST Wed Nov 26 2025

Thursday night and Friday...Dry conditions continue into the first
half of Friday, as the flow aloft becomes more westerly ahead of an
incoming system dropping down across the Intermountain West.
Increasing westerly flow aloft will mean a warming downslope flow
across the I-25 Corridor and adjacent plains, leading to above
normal high temps for Friday. A good amount of mid and high level
cloudiness is forecast however, so the high valleys will likely see
little change in temps from day to day. Plan on highs in the mid 40s
to lower 50s for the high valleys, and mid 50s to lower 60s for the
plains.

Friday night through Monday...The approaching system and associated
arctic cold front will quickly move across the Rocky Mt region
Friday night through Saturday morning, ushering in much colder temps
as well as some isolated to possibly low-end scattered precipitation
chances for the northern portions of the forecast area. This system
really will favor the northern half of Colorado, with the best
precip chances north of the forecast area, but there will be some
bleed-over with the central mts and Palmer Divide being the favored
areas. Northerly flow aloft will keep cold air in place, then
another quick-moving upper disturbance crosses the Great Basin
Sunday morning, crossing CO Sunday eve through Monday and bringing a
reinforcing blast of colder air as well as better snow chances for
the mts, high valleys, and maybe even the plains. However, latest
model runs are not as confident as solutions were 24 hours ago, and
precip chances have been gradually eased back. Still, forecast snow
amounts this far out indicate a possible need for some highlights
over the mts late Sat night through Mon, so stay tuned.

As for temps, Sat night and Sun night are trending to be very cold
nights, with Sun now looking like the coldest day of the extended
period. Plan on highs Sat in the mid 30s to lower 40s for the high
valleys, and upper 20s to near 40F for the plains. On Sun, temps
will only warm into the mid 20s to mid 30s for most locations, and
Mon will see widespread 30s.

Tuesday...Models indicate temporary ridging aloft across the Great
Basin and Four Corners region for Tue, leading to dry conditions and
warmer temperatures, though readings will still be nearly 10 degrees
below normal for this time of year. Moore

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 1003 AM MST Wed Nov 26 2025

VFR conditions at all three terminals (KALS, KCOS, KPUB) through
the next 24 hours with passing high level clouds. Winds will be
light at less than 10 kts.  Mozley

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...MOZLEY
LONG TERM...MOORE
AVIATION...MOZLEY