Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Pueblo, CO
Issued by NWS Pueblo, CO
752
FNUS75 KPUB 172343
FWSPUB
Spot Forecast for Monument Fire Center...Pike NF
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
543 PM MDT Mon Jun 17 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 1800 MDT on June 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
Please contact our office at (719) 948-9429, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
.DISCUSSION...
Red Flag conditions will end later this evening as gusty winds
lessen and humidity increases to around 35 percent overnight. A
cold front will drop across the area late Monday night into early
Tuesday morning, with winds becoming northerly behind the front
and quickly becoming easterly to southeasterly by late Tuesday
morning. Winds will remain between northerly to southeasterly
through Thursday, with southerly to southwesterly winds prevailing
through Friday. Dry conditions are expected tonight and Tuesday,
with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms then possible
Tuesday evening and each afternoon and evening for Wednesday
through Friday.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....53F.
Max humidity........33-38 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 17-21 mph until 2400, then
around 8 mph until 0500.
Mixing height.......11000 ft agl until 2000, then 1500 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 12 mph until 0500, then northwest
around 9 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent until 2000, then poor.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........4 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 4 11 18
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............87 82 76 72 69 67 64 62 61 60 58 55
RH..............9 11 13 16 17 19 22 23 24 25 28 32
20 FT wind dir..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W
20 FT wind spd..21 21 21 15 15 15 8 8 8 7 7 7
20 FT wind gust.31 31 31 23 23 23 13 13 13 12 12 12
Mix hgt (kft)...14 8.5 2.0 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.0
Transp wind dir.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W NW
Transp wind spd.29 25 18 17 16 15 15 16 15 14 12 9
Haines index....6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6
SDspl kt-ft/1000335 191 31 21 20 18 17 19 17 16 13 10
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny(40 percent). Slight chance of rain
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
LAL.................1 until 1200, then 3.
Max temperature.....76F.
Min humidity........17-22 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds around 8 mph until 0900. Southeast
12-16 mph after 1200. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms after 1200.
Mixing height.......2500 ft agl until 1000, then 8000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 8 mph until 0700, then
northeast until 0800, then west until 0900,
then southeast until 1000, then south around 19
mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0700. Very good after 1200.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........25 29 32 36 41 47 52 53 53 53 54 55
Weather cov..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 3 3 3 3 3 3
Temp............53 55 60 64 68 71 74 75 75 76 76 72
RH..............38 38 35 32 28 26 23 22 22 22 22 27
20 FT wind dir..N N N E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE
20 FT wind spd..8 8 8 13 13 13 16 16 16 15 15 15
20 FT wind gust.13 13 13 20 20 20 23 23 23 23 23 23
Mix hgt (kft)...1.5 1.5 2.0 2.5 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 8.5 8.5 8.0 7.0
Transp wind dir.NW NE W SE S S S S S S S S
Transp wind spd.8 8 8 8 15 18 21 22 21 23 22 18
Haines index....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
SDspl kt-ft/10009 11 14 19 66 96 123 155 151 174 148 111
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy(54 percent) until 2200, then
partly cloudy(36 percent). Chance of rain
showers and thunderstorms until 2400, then
slight chance of rain showers and
thunderstorms.
LAL.................4 until 2400, then 3.
Min temperature.....43F.
Max humidity........68-73 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds around 10 mph until 2400, then
around 5 mph until 0500. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......5500 ft agl until 1900, then 1500 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 16 mph until 2000, then east
around 9 mph until 2300, then around 6 mph
until 0300, then southeast around 7 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good until 1900, then poor.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........56 55 54 53 45 36 28 29 30 31 35 40
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
LAL.............4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3
Temp............70 67 59 57 53 52 50 48 47 46 45 45
RH..............30 33 45 48 56 60 64 67 67 71 69 71
20 FT wind dir..NE NE NE NE NE NE N N N NE NE NE
20 FT wind spd..10 10 10 8 8 8 6 6 6 5 5 5
20 FT wind gust.15 15 15 13 13 13 9 9 9 7 7 7
Mix hgt (kft)...5.5 2.5 2.0 2.0 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.0 1.0 1.0
Transp wind dir.S SE E E NE NE NE NE E E SE SE
Transp wind spd.20 14 12 8 8 7 6 6 7 7 8 8
Haines index....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
SDspl kt-ft/100090 33 20 13 12 9 7 7 8 8 9 9
.JUNETEENTH...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny(57 percent). Chance of rain
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
Max temperature.....68F.
Min humidity........44-49 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Around 6 mph until 0900, then southeast 11-15 mph.
Gusty and erratic winds expected near
thunderstorms after 1200.
Mixing height.......4000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0700. Good after 0900.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........45 45 46 46 51 55 59 60 61 62 66 70
Weather cov..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 4 4 4 4 4 4
Temp............44 47 50 53 56 59 61 63 64 66 66 66
RH..............73 70 65 63 59 56 53 52 49 49 50 50
20 FT wind dir..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
20 FT wind spd..6 6 6 9 9 9 14 14 14 15 15 15
20 FT wind gust.8 8 8 14 14 14 21 21 21 23 23 23
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 2.0 2.5 3.5 4.0 4.0 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.0 3.5
Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S S S S S S
Transp wind spd.9 12 13 15 16 17 18 20 21 22 21 21
Haines index....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
SDspl kt-ft/100010 19 29 43 53 63 75 78 81 84 74 68
$$
Forecaster...SIMCOE
Requested by...Christina Barba
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2415650.10/PUB
.DELDT 06/17/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0