Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Pueblo, CO
Issued by NWS Pueblo, CO
139
FNUS75 KPUB 091825
FWSPUB
Spot Forecast for Monument Fire Center...Pike NF
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1225 PM MDT Sun Jun 9 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 1300 MDT on June 09.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
Please contact our office at (719) 948-9429, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.
.DISCUSSION...
..A thunderstorm is currently located about 11 miles southwest of
your location. This is storm is producing lightning. New storm
development can be seen on satellite directly west of your
location, which could bring lightning to the burn site as early as
1300..
Rain and thunderstorms are expected today, some of which
could be severe. Extra moisture is present in the atmosphere
today, which has increased our humidity and our instability. This
will lead to an increased risk for hail and torrential rainfall
with thunderstorms this afternoon. Hail up to 1.25 inches will be
possible with thunderstorms near the burn site anytime from NOW
through tonight. Please continue to monitor weather conditions
this afternoon and this evening at the burn site as conditions
could change rapidly, and please do not hesitate to call our
office for updates!
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny(65 percent) until 1700, then
cloudy. Showers with thunderstorms likely.
LAL.................4 until 1500, then 5.
Max temperature.....73-76F.
Min humidity........41-46 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 13 mph. Gusty and erratic
winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......4000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 17 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
TIME (MDT) 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........45 57 79 86 95
Weather cov.....CHC CHC LKY LKY DEF
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY
LAL.............4 4 5 5 5
Temp............72 71 72 68 67
RH..............51 53 51 59 63
20 FT wind dir..SE SE S S S
20 FT wind spd..13 13 13 13 13
20 FT wind gust.20 20 24 24 24
Mix hgt (kft)...5.5 5.5 4.5 4.0 3.0
Transp wind dir.S S S S S
Transp wind spd.15 15 15 17 18
Haines index....3 3 3 3 3
SDspl kt-ft/100073 71 62 57 49
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers and thunderstorms
likely until 2400, then chance of rain showers
and thunderstorms.
LAL.................5 until 1900, then 4 until 2200, then 3 until
2300, then 1 until 2400, then 4 until 0400,
then 3.
Min temperature.....52-54F.
Max humidity........84-89 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 12 mph. Gusty and erratic
winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......2000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 16 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair until 1900, then poor.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........78 79 77 80 81 84 80 80 80 80 79 78
Weather cov.....LKY CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........LKY CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH
LAL.............5 4 4 4 3 2 4 4 4 4 3 3
Temp............66 63 60 59 58 56 56 55 54 53 53 52
RH..............61 65 72 72 75 80 80 83 86 88 89 89
20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT wind spd..12 12 12 12 12 12 9 9 9 8 8 8
20 FT wind gust.24 24 24 23 23 23 14 14 14 12 12 12
Mix hgt (kft)...2.5 2.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5
Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S S S S S S
Transp wind spd.18 17 14 14 13 14 15 17 17 17 17 17
Haines index....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
SDspl kt-ft/100044 37 17 16 14 16 17 19 19 19 19 24
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and
thunderstorms after 1200 until 1500, then rain
showers and thunderstorms likely.
LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4 until 1500, then 5.
Max temperature.....73-74F.
Min humidity........42-47 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South at 5 mph until 0900, then south around 10 mph.
Gusty and erratic winds expected near
thunderstorms after 1200.
Mixing height.......4500 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph until 1700, then west.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1100, then fair until 1600, then
poor.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........77 66 68 70 68 66 65 72 79 86 83 81
Weather cov..... CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 4 4 4 5 5 5
Temp............53 55 58 63 65 68 71 71 71 71 70 69
RH..............86 83 75 65 60 54 49 49 47 47 47 49
20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT wind spd..7 7 7 8 8 8 10 10 10 10 10 10
20 FT wind gust.16 16 16 18 18 18 20 20 20 20 20 20
Mix hgt (kft)...1.5 1.5 2.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 4.5 3.5
Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S S S S SW W
Transp wind spd.14 15 15 14 13 12 10 10 10 10 10 10
Haines index....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
SDspl kt-ft/100016 22 26 26 31 40 47 47 47 46 39 32
$$
Forecaster...EHR
Requested by...Christina Barba
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2415650.4/PUB
.DELDT 06/09/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0