474
FXUS65 KREV 212202
AFDREV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Reno NV
202 PM PST Fri Nov 21 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

* Dry weather with cold mornings and gusty ridge winds will prevail
  this weekend.

* There is a slight chance of showers Sunday night into Monday near
  the Oregon border.

* Fair weather is expected leading up to and including Thanksgiving
  with a winter storm possible during the following weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

A slow warming and drying trend is well underway now that our latest
winter storm has departed and allowed high pressure to nudge into
the region. This weekend is expected to be dry and mild as a result
with gusty E/NE winds along the Sierra crest. Clearing skies will
yield rather cold mornings as temperatures fall near or below
freezing regionwide. Be sure to bundle up this weekend if you plan
on being outdoors during the evening or early morning hours!

The upcoming week will feature more of the same as we`ll be devoid
of significant winter storms through Thanksgiving. Sunday night into
Monday presents the sole opportunity for showers as weak low pressure
and an attendant cold front quickly pass by the region. However,
chances are low (10-20%) and will be confined to areas near the
Oregon border closer to the low. Elsewhere, SW/W winds may become a
bit breezy Sunday afternoon -- particularly from Lassen County into
N Washoe County -- with 40-60 winds along Sierra ridges posing
impacts to aviation.

The days leading up to and including Thanksgiving are shaping up to
be quite ideal for holiday travel and festivities, owing to broad
high pressure developing overhead. There is the potential for a
winter storm to impact the region next Friday into the following
weekend as 70% of solutions feature a low pressure passage of some
flavor/intensity after the holiday. The storm`s trajectory and
strength are still uncertain at this point, and thus so are the
timing and impact details, but it`s certainly worth paying close
attention to as we get closer.

-Salas

&&

.AVIATION...

Low clouds and mountain obscuration will continue to be the main
concern today, but further clearing should mitigate this issue
through the evening. E/NE FL100 winds of 20-30 kts may pose mountain
wave turbulence impacts from the Sierra crest westward into
California through Saturday morning.

-Salas

&&

.REV Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NV...None.
CA...None.
&&

$$