Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Seattle/Tacoma, WA
Issued by NWS Seattle/Tacoma, WA
611 FXUS66 KSEW 290402 AFDSEW Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Seattle WA 802 PM PST Fri Nov 28 2025 .SYNOPSIS...A partly cloudy but generally dry weekend is in store, with only weak passing systems expected into next week. A stronger system is possible late next week into next weekend. && .SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...High clouds continue this evening across Western Washington. Localized patchy fog may develop tonight in any clearing, especially around Olympia and Tacoma. Otherwise, brief wind gusts of 20 to 30 MPH will be possible into early Saturday around the Cascade gaps, particularly near North Bend. No major forecast updates this evening, previous discussion below: Temperatures will cool a bit over the weekend into the upper 40s, but periods of sunshine will break through the clouds at times. A weak disturbance moving through tomorrow could generate a few afternoon showers, but the likelihood is higher in the majority of the region remaining mostly dry. Low temperatures will also be coming down in the mid 30s over the weekend, with 20s in the Cascade foothills and at the pass levels. Winds will be light and generally northeasterly throughout the weekend. && .LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...Generally quiet weather persists through much of the week. As high pressure remains offshore, expect a few weak disturbances to move through the area and generate some precipitation. Light rain is possible Monday evening lasting through Tuesday morning and then again Wednesday afternoon into Thursday. In each of these systems, some light mountain snow is possible but won`t accumulate to particularly impactful amounts. In between these periods of rain, expect it to be mostly cloudy. The deterministic model runs are suggesting a more potent system possible late in the week, while the ensemble cluster analysis shows more of a ridge dominance. More details will emerge as the week progresses. 21 && .AVIATION...Northwest winds aloft will continue through Saturday with ridging offshore and an embedded, weak trough moving through the Pacific Northwest later Saturday. VFR conditions with high clouds for most this evening. Localized MVFR cigs exist with continued stratus around KOLM. Predominantly VFR cigs expected into Saturday, however, stratus may become a bit more widespread for a brief period Saturday morning around Puget Sound. Confidence is low in this occurring. Otherwise, patchy fog may develop tonight, especially in the south Puget Sound, with any clearing in the high clouds. A weak weather system will move through later Saturday, but precipitation is generally expected to remain limited, and light overall. E/NE surface winds continue through Saturday. KSEA...VFR conditions with high clouds this evening. There remains a low probability, around 15-20%, of MVFR cigs Saturday morning (mainly between 12-16z), otherwise mid and high clouds continue. E/NE surface winds through Saturday, ranging 5-10 kts. JD && .MARINE...East to northeast winds will continue through Sunday. Seas are diminishing today, with only a slight bump back to around 7 ft Sunday. Expect increasing winds and building seas late Monday into Tuesday over the outer coastal waters as a weak front approaches, but otherwise high pressure generally in control through the forecast period. JD/12 && .HYDROLOGY...River flooding is not expected over the next 7 days. && .SEW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WA...None. PZ...None. && $$