348
FXUS64 KSHV 061751
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1151 AM CST Sat Dec 6 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1114 PM CST Fri Dec 5 2025

 - Dry weather dominates: Expect significantly drier conditions
   for the entire week, with no widespread precipitation in the
   forecast for the area.

 - Temperatures will fluctuate, featuring a warm peak on Sunday, a
   cooler start to the week on Monday, followed by another warming
   trend into Thursday, and then cooler for next weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 954 AM CST Sat Dec 6 2025

Dreary conditions will temporarily clear out overnight tonight.
Despite the greater radiational cooling potential, low temeratures
will stay warm in the 40s. Clouds will return Sunday morning and
possibly bring a few more showers to our far southeastern zones
during the afternoon. A zonal to northwest flow pattern aloft
will keep conditions clear and dry once this cloud cover fully
clears out Sunday night thanks to a frontal passage.

Even with clear skies, temperature trends will vary through the
week next week. The same front that clears the clouds Sunday night
will bring a cooler airmass into the region. This airmass will keep
temperatures cool on Monday and Tuesday before a southerly wind
shift begins a warming trend over the following few days.
Afternoon temperatures could climb into the 70s in several areas
by Thursday. Another cold front is expected to move through the
Ark-La-Tx late Thursday night and knock temperatures back into the
40s and 50s for Friday. The most recent run of the NBM has taken
precip chances out of this last frontal passage, but there are
still plenty of model runs between then and now where things can
change.

57

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1145 AM CST Sat Dec 6 2025

For the 06/18z TAFs, visibilities have improved in most locations,
but IFR/LIFR ceilings persist across much of East Texas and into
portions of Southeast Oklahoma and extreme Southwest Arkansas.
Satellite loops over the last several hours have shown these
clouds have been gradually eroding from southeast to northwest.
Thus, VFR conditions are expected to prevail at all TAF sites by
06/20z. However, southerly winds will allow low-level moisture to
pool across the area overnight ahead of another cold front.
IFR/LIFR flight conditions should be expected areawide after
07/06z, including the potential for patchy dense fog. The cold
front will quickly move across the area after 07/12z resulting in
a wind shift to the northwest. The clouds may begin to lift and
scatter at KTYR behind the front, but IFR/LIFR ceilings should
persist at the remainder of the TAF sites through the rest of the
period.

/09/

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 641 AM CST Sat Dec 6 2025

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  60  47  62  38 /   0   0  10   0
MLU  56  43  59  38 /   0   0  20  10
DEQ  52  38  57  28 /   0   0   0   0
TXK  55  43  58  34 /   0   0  10   0
ELD  54  39  56  33 /   0   0  10   0
TYR  60  47  61  33 /   0   0   0   0
GGG  61  46  62  33 /   0   0  10   0
LFK  63  48  69  37 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&


$$

DISCUSSION...57
AVIATION...09