556
FXUS64 KSHV 070550
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1150 PM CST Sat Dec 6 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1131 PM CST Sat Dec 6 2025

 - Dense Fog Advisory Tonight: Expect widespread areas of fog with
   visibility of one quarter of a mile or less at times.

 - Temperatures Roller Coaster: A series of short-lived warm-ups
   and cool-downs are expected this week.

 - Not much in the way of widespread precipitation over the next
   week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1131 PM CST Sat Dec 6 2025

After a mild Saturday, our focus this evening and overnight
transitions to the dense fog that will be possible across the
region. After watching surface observations and coordinating with
out neighboring offices, visibility is quickly dropping across
some locations, which has prompted the issuance of a Dense Fog
Advisory for the entire area through 9:00 AM Sunday morning.
Visibility will drop to a quarter mile or less at times, making
driving tricky. If you`re out and about, please treat the roads
with the utmost caution - slow down and use your low-beam
headlights. Sunday offers a very brief warm-up, with highs
climbing into the mid-50s across our northern zones and reaching
the mid to upper 60s across our southern zones. A cold front will
push through the area on Sunday night into Monday.

The rest of the week looks to be a bit of a thermal roller coaster ,
giving us a classic December feel. Cooler, more seasonal air
settles in on Monday behind the aforementioned cold front, but
don`t get too comfortable in those jackets. Another warm-up begins
on Tuesday, culminating in a beautifully warm Thursday where our
southern zones can welcome back the mid-70s. This pattern of
fleeting warmth and quick cool-downs is something we`ve been
watching over the past few days, and it can feel like the
atmospheric circulation is constantly in flux, moving things
between our familiar world and a far cooler place, only to bring
us back to the warmth again. Looking ahead to the end of the week,
the warm party is short-lived as another cold front arrives late
Thursday into Friday morning. This may also kick up an isolated
shower or two in our eastern zones while at the same time ushering
in cooler temperatures once again for the weekend. /33/

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1142 PM CST Sat Dec 6 2025

For the 07/06Z TAF period, rapidly deteriorating flight conditions
are expected with IFR/LIFR cigs and patchy dense fog reducing vsby
through much of the TAF period. These unfavorable conditions will
prevail ahead of a cold front with only slight improvement in wake
of frontal passage during the latter half of the period on Sunday.
Cigs may manage to climb into the low MVFR range by around 20Z-21Z
with fog gradually lifting late in the period as well as the cold
front advances through the region. In addition, cannot rule out a
brief shower with fropa across our eastern terminals but opted not
to include in this TAF cycle given the low confidence. Winds will
veer from the E/SE to N/NW with fropa through the day as the cold
front makes southward progress across our airspace with speeds
ranging from 5-10 kts on average.

/19/

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 641 AM CST Sat Dec 6 2025

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  48  61  39  53 /   0  20   0   0
MLU  44  58  40  52 /   0  40  20   0
DEQ  38  56  30  51 /   0   0   0   0
TXK  43  57  35  51 /  10  10   0   0
ELD  39  54  34  49 /  10  30   0   0
TYR  47  60  35  53 /   0   0   0   0
GGG  46  61  34  54 /   0  10   0   0
LFK  49  68  39  57 /   0  10   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM CST Sunday for ARZ050-051-059>061-
     070>073.

LA...Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM CST Sunday for LAZ001>006-010>014-
     017>022.

OK...Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM CST Sunday for OKZ077.

TX...Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM CST Sunday for TXZ096-097-108>112-
     124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167.

&&


$$

DISCUSSION...33
AVIATION...19