307
FXUS64 KSJT 152330
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
530 PM CST Mon Dec 15 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Not as cold, but mostly cloudy today.

- Dry conditions and well-above normal temperatures are expected
  Wednesday through Monday, with near record highs possible on
  Saturday.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Tuesday)
Issued at 1147 AM CST Mon Dec 15 2025

Persistent low level clouds and cool air behind the cold front
will keep temperatures mainly in the 50s for highs this
afternoon. A weak upper level low will approach the area today and
move across west central Texas on Tuesday. The main result of
this will be an increase in mid and upper level clouds across west
central Texas. Southerly winds at the surface will persist
through Tuesday afternoon owing to lee troughing to our north.
With south winds, increasing moisture, and mid and upper level
clouds streaming over the area, overnight lows will be warmer,
dropping into the mid and upper 40s. And although the trough will
be over the region tomorrow, due to southerly winds and increasing
sunshine, highs Tuesday will warm several degrees into the mid
60s to lower 70s. No precipitation is expected.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday night through next Monday)
Issued at 100 PM CST Mon Dec 15 2025

The upper trough axis will shift east of our area Tuesday night,
with generally northwest flow aloft following Wednesday into Friday.
After morning low cloud cover over a good portion of our west
central Texas Wednesday morning, skies will be mostly sunny in the
afternoon as drier air advects into the area. Temperatures will be
warmer with highs in the upper 60s to lower 70s in the Big Country,
and 70-75 farther south.

A weak cold frontal passage Thursday morning will be followed by
breezy north winds. With ample sunshine, temperatures will only be a
few degrees cooler for highs Thursday. Light winds and radiational
cooling Thursday night will allow temperatures to drop into the 30s
for overnight lows. Anticipate some favored low-lying areas to have
lows 30-32 degrees. South winds will return and increase Friday, as
lee surface trough develops to our west and pressure gradient
tightens. With sunny skies, temperatures will rebound into the
upper 60s to lower 70s for highs.

Quasi-zonal flow aloft is progged over our area during the weekend.
Near record highs will be possible on Saturday with sunny skies,
breezy southwest winds and a strengthened low-level thermal ridge.
Highs are forecast to be in the upper 70s to mid 80s. The record
highs for Saturday (December 20) are 85 at San Angelo and 84 at
Abilene (records at both locations set in 2010). A weak cold
frontal passage is progged late Saturday night into Sunday. A
little cooler but still well-above normal temperatures are
expected for highs Sunday.

In the early part of next week, an upper level ridge is progged
to build over Texas and the southern Plains. This looks to bring a
continuation of dry conditions, mostly clear skies and well-above
normal temperatures for our area.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 525 PM CST Mon Dec 15 2025

Low VFR to MVFR ceilings are currently impacting all terminals
except KABI this evening and are expected to fall to MVFR during
the overnight and early morning hours Tuesday. Southerly winds
will become generally light and variable overnight again and pick
back up from the south by mid to late Tuesday morning. Some
breezy winds are expected across KSJT, KABI, and KBBD developing
late Tuesday morning, with gusts as high as 22 knots.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     45  69  44  71 /   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  43  68  44  71 /   0   0   0   0
Junction    42  65  47  74 /   0   0   0   0
Brownwood   40  67  44  71 /   0   0   0   0
Sweetwater  44  70  42  69 /   0   0   0   0
Ozona       41  63  45  71 /   0   0   0   0
Brady       44  65  48  72 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...20
LONG TERM....19
AVIATION...TP