582
FXUS64 KSJT 011759
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
1259 PM CDT Sat Nov 1 2025

...New SHORT TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Cold front today will bring low chances for isolated rain
  showers and isolated thunderstorms to our eastern counties.

- Warmer temperatures and dry weather next week.

- Low to medium chance (20-40%) of reaching record high
  temperatures on Wednesday afternoon.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Sunday)
Issued at 1251 PM CDT Sat Nov 1 2025

Cold front was along an Abilene...San Angelo to Sonora line at 1
PM and will move east through the rest of West Central Texas
through mid afternoon. Brought mention of showers and isolated
thunder in Brown county this afternoon per latest radar.

Showers and thunderstorms in eastern zones should be well east by
this evening. Northeast winds behind cold fronts will weaken
quickly this evening, becoming light and variable. Clear skies and
light wind will allow extra radiational cooling so brought most
areas down to the upper 30s to lower 40s...close to the GFS MOS
and 25 percent NBM temperatures. Temperatures on Sunday rebound
into highs the lower to mid 70s with return of south winds of 5
to 10 mph.


&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday night through next Saturday)
Issued at 1234 PM CDT Sat Nov 1 2025

Very quiet long term pattern for the next week across West Central
Texas. After the trough today passes the area, weak upper level
ridging and then zonal flow aloft will prevail through next
weekend. Temperatures will climb through Wednesday and may
approach the 90 degree mark. Record high in Abilene for Wednesday
is 90 (2007) and San Angelo 91 (also 2007), with the statistical
data showing a low to medium chance of reaching or breaking those
records (20-40%). Morning lows will be in the upper 40s to mid 50s
most days.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1205 PM CDT Sat Nov 1 2025

MVFR stratus was scattering out at KJCT at 17Z, and should move
east of KBBD by 19Z. Cold front otherwise will move through the
terminals early/mid afternoon, shifting winds to the north and
northeast 7 to 10 KTS. Winds become light and variable this
evening before becoming south to southwest 5 to 10 KTS Sunday
morning.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     42  74  51  81 /   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  39  74  47  80 /   0   0   0   0
Junction    40  75  44  79 /   0   0   0   0
Brownwood   40  73  43  79 /   0   0   0   0
Sweetwater  43  75  51  81 /   0   0   0   0
Ozona       40  72  47  76 /   0   0   0   0
Brady       42  72  47  78 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...04
LONG TERM....07
AVIATION...04