608
FXUS64 KSJT 041103 AAA
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
603 AM CDT Sat Oct 4 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Dry and warm weather will continue through the weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 140 AM CDT Sat Oct 4 2025

A few minor changes are expected in our weather today (compared to
the past couple of days), but temperatures will remain about the
same. Highs today are expected to be mostly 90-93 degrees, with a
few upper 80s in southern portions of our area. The upper level
ridge that has been in place over west and northwest Texas will
weaken today, as an upper trough shifts east into the Rockies. Our
area will have some increase in south to southeast winds today with
an increasing surface pressure gradient. This to occur as a surface
low deepens from northeastern Colorado across western Nebraska, as
the leading portion of the aforementioned upper trough lifts across
the central Rockies. Should have some afternoon cumulus over our
area as low-level moisture increase a bit with the south to
southeast low-level flow. Lows tonight are expected to be mostly in
the lower to mid 60s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday night through next Saturday)
Issued at 1152 PM CDT Fri Oct 3 2025

Above normal temperatures are expected to continue for the next
week. Dry conditions will likely continue for Sunday, before rain
chances increase slightly for Monday through Wednesday. Southeast
surface winds will allow for continuous warm, moist air advection
next week. This combined with diurnal heating and a weak front could
be enough to trigger a few showers and storms next week. Models are
showing a weak front moving into north Texas Tuesday into Wednesday.
Convergence along the front could allow for the development of
showers as it moves into the area. However, with the lack of upper
level support and relatively weak nature of the front, rain chances
will remain low for now (<30%). Significant weather impacts are not
expected with this system.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 602 AM CDT Sat Oct 4 2025

VFR conditions will continue through the next 24 hours. South to
southeast winds will increase by mid-morning at our TAF sites and
continue through the afternoon. The higher wind speeds (9-12
knots) are expected at KABI, with some higher gusts in the
afternoon. Wind speeds will be around 10 knots at KSJT and 7-10
knots at our southern terminals. Winds will decrease again in
the evening.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     91  66  90  66 /   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  89  63  90  63 /   0   0   0   0
Junction    90  61  90  63 /   0   0   0   0
Brownwood   90  62  89  62 /   0   0   0   0
Sweetwater  90  65  90  65 /   0   0   0   0
Ozona       87  63  88  63 /   0   0   0   0
Brady       87  63  88  64 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...19
LONG TERM....AP
AVIATION...19