554
FXUS64 KSJT 041817
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
1217 PM CST Thu Dec 4 2025

...New SHORT TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...

-  Cold tonight with lows in the low/mid 30s but much warmer on
   Friday with highs in the 60s.

-  Dry and warmer weather will prevail Friday through Saturday,
   before the next cold front on Sunday, followed by gradual
   warming for the beginning of the work week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Friday)
Issued at 1208 PM CST Thu Dec 4 2025

A cold day across West Central Texas this afternoon with
temperatures holding in the upper 30s to lower 40s across most
areas. Low clouds will eventually decrease across the area this
afternoon and evening, but mid and high clouds will persist. This
will help keep temperatures from bottoming out overnight with lows
mainly in the low to mid 30s. Main upper level trough will move a
little closer overnight, with a weak shortwave combining with some
of this mid/upper moisture to squeeze out a few light showers
across the southern areas mainly south of I-10. Will continue the
slight chance mention down there, although again any rain reaching
the ground should be light.

A little more sunshine on Friday with a break in some of the mid
and upper level cloud cover. Surface high pressure will also be
shifting east of the area and light south to southwest winds will
return. Forecast highs climbing into the low to mid 60s for most
areas looks perfectly reasonable.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday through next Thursday)
Issued at 1051 PM CST Wed Dec 3 2025

An upper-level trough will set up across the region from the west
by the end of the work week, with a series of weak shortwave
disturbances tracking through West Central Texas though the first
half of next week. The limiting factor remains the available
moisture for precipitation, which most models are showing is still
lacking. As of now, we are expecting these systems to remain dry
and track through the area with little to no precipitation.

Temperatures are expected to warm Friday into Saturday into the
upper 60s to mid 70s Saturday, before the next cold front on
Sunday brings high temperatures into the mid 50s to mid 60s.
Temperatures gradually warm back into the upper 60s to mid 70s by
Wednesday, before the arrival of the next cold front on Thursday.
Coldest night over the next week will be Monday morning when
radiational cooling allows temperatures to drop to near or below
freezing across much of the area.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1114 AM CST Thu Dec 4 2025

IFR and MVFR cigs will continue across West Central Texas
terminals early this afternoon, but some slow and steady
improvement will continue through the afternoon and into the
evening, allowing all sites to become VFR later today. North winds
around 10 knots will continue through sunset, but become light
and variable during the overnight hours. Some light south winds
will eventually redevelop across the area Friday morning as the
surface high pressure shifts across the area.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     33  63  36  67 /   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  35  62  37  69 /  10   0   0   0
Junction    36  60  39  71 /  10  20   0   0
Brownwood   33  59  37  66 /   0   0   0   0
Sweetwater  34  64  35  66 /   0   0   0   0
Ozona       37  59  37  70 /  10  10   0   0
Brady       36  58  42  68 /   0  10   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...07
LONG TERM....TP
AVIATION...07