331
FXUS64 KSJT 270820
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
220 AM CST Thu Nov 27 2025

...New SHORT TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...

-  Pleasant weather is expected for this Thanksgiving Day, with
   highs mostly in the lower to mid 60s.

-  Low chances of showers by Friday afternoon, and low to medium
   chances for showers and a few thunderstorms Friday night.

-  Much colder temperatures expected Sunday into the first part of
   next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 205 AM CST Thu Nov 27 2025

A very nice Thanksgiving Day is shaping up for West Central Texas
today. Weak ridging moving in from the west will allow for
seasonable temperatures across the area, with light winds and
afternoon highs in the low to mid 60s. Cloud cover will increase
across the area tonight, which will result in warmer temperatures
compared to the last couple of nights, with lows in the 40s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday through Wednesday)
Issued at 1220 AM CST Thu Nov 27 2025

Low-level moisture will increase over our area Friday with
strengthening return flow. Breezy south winds and mostly cloudy
skies are expected, with afternoon highs mostly in the lower 60s.
Isolated to scattered showers are possible, mainly Friday afternoon
and Friday night in association with a weak upper shortwave moving
through the area. A few thunderstorms will be possible Friday
evening and Friday night in some of our eastern counties with an
increase in instability. An upper trough will move southeast across
the northern and central Plains into the Midwest on Saturday, and
associated cold front will advance south across our area during the
afternoon and evening. Depending on the specific timing with this
front, it could curtail highs to the mid 60s to near 70 in some of
our northern counties. Our central and southern counties should have
highs in the lower to mid 70s, with south to southwest winds ahead
of the front and partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies.

Gusty north winds can be expected Saturday night in the wake of the
cold frontal passage. Temperatures will drop into the upper 20s to
lower 30s by daybreak Sunday. Brisk northeast winds will make for a
cold Sunday morning. The colder airmass will settle in for Sunday
into the first part of the week. Temperatures should be confined to
the lower to mid 40s for highs in most of our area Sunday, with a
few upper 40s in our far southern counties. Lows Sunday night are
expected to range from the mid 20s to lower 30s. Models continue to
trend drier for early next week, and now only have a slight chance
(20 percent) for light rain showers in eastern portions of San Saba
and Mason Counties Monday morning. Another upper trough is forecast
to drop southeast into the southern Plains on Monday, pushing a cold
front south across our area late Monday afternoon into early Monday
night. Monday night looks cold with temperatures dropping into the
20s for lows, and accompanied by somewhat breezy north winds.

Temperatures will remain cool and below normal Tuesday with highs in
the lower to mid 50s. Wednesday looks warmer with a return of
southerly winds and highs in the lower to mid 60s.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 922 PM CST Wed Nov 26 2025

Some mid clouds in the 4000-5000ft range continue to stream north
into the southern and eastern terminals late this evening and
will likely to continue through the overnight hours. Conditions
likely to stay VFR however. Winds will remain light and variable
overnight before becoming light south or southeast on Thanksgiving
Day.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     65  45  61  53 /   0   0  30  40
San Angelo  66  46  62  53 /   0   0  30  20
Junction    67  46  64  52 /   0   0  30  30
Brownwood   63  41  61  50 /   0   0  20  50
Sweetwater  64  46  61  54 /   0   0  30  20
Ozona       67  48  60  52 /   0   0  30  10
Brady       62  46  61  53 /   0   0  20  40

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...24
LONG TERM....19
AVIATION...07