464
FXUS64 KSJT 070614
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
1214 AM CST Sun Dec 7 2025

...New LONG TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Cooler today into Monday.
- Warmer and above normal temperatures Tuesday through midweek, then
  turning much cooler following a Thursday cold frontal passage.
- Dry with no precipitation expected this week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Sunday)
Issued at 1105 AM CST Sat Dec 6 2025

Generally quiet and dry weather will continue through Sunday.
A cold front will move through late tonight into Sunday, bringing
northerly winds and cooler temperatures. After highs in the 60s
and 70s today, Sunday`s highs will only warm into the upper 50s
along and north of I-20 to mid 60s along the I-10 corridor. Skies
will remain mostly clear though Sunday.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday through Saturday)
Issued at 1212 AM CST Sun Dec 7 2025

A dry forecast is in store for this week, and our area will be under
northwest flow aloft. A series of upper troughs will move southeast
from the northern Plains across the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley. A
weak cold frontal passage is progged for Wednesday, with a stronger
cold front Thursday afternoon and evening.

After a cold start to the day Monday, afternoon highs are expected
to be in the upper 50s to mid 60s with mostly sunny skies and a
return of southeast to south winds.

Warmer and above normal temperatures will occur on Tuesday and
Wednesday with mostly clear skies. Increased/breezy south-southwest
winds are expected Tuesday with a tightening pressure gradient and
lee surface trough development to our west. A weak cold frontal
passage is progged Wednesday afternoon and evening, but will
essentially just result in a temporary wind shift. Highs Wednesday
are currently forecast to be in the upper 60s north to mid 70s
south.

A stronger cold front is forecast to move south across our area
Thursday afternoon and evening. Recent model trends are stronger
with this front. Timing of this frontal passage will be key to how
warm temperatures get on Thursday (prior to its passage). At this
time, blended model solution has highs ranging from the upper 60s in
the northern Big Country, to around 80 along the I-10 corridor.
Following passage of this front, gusty north-northeast winds are
expected Thursday night and Friday, as a strong surface high
pressure ridge builds south across the Great Plains from southern
Canada. Blended model approach has temperatures much cooler Friday
and Saturday. Current forecast highs Friday are from near 50 north
to the upper 50s south, and lows Friday night in the mid 20s to near
30. Highs on Saturday are mostly in the 50-55 degree range. However,
stronger cold air advection could result in temperatures being
colder than what is currently forecast. Will continue to monitor
model trends and the possible need to adjust temperatures lower.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 939 PM CST Sat Dec 6 2025

Cold front will continue to make progress to the south overnight
and will shift winds around to the north across all of the
terminals by late morning. Low cloud imagery continues to show fog
and low clouds dropping south behind the front south of the Red
River. Will continue the mention of fog and IFR cigs moving into
the KABI area by sunrise and continuing into the mid morning
hours. These low clouds will continue south and southeast and have
added a mention of MVFR into the KBBD terminal location during the
mid morning hours as well. Elsewhere, still looks like VFR
conditions will hold. North winds will be gusty for the afternoon
hours behind the front with some gusts exceeding 25 kts in some
locations.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     59  32  62  41 /   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  62  33  64  37 /   0   0   0   0
Junction    65  31  66  34 /   0   0   0   0
Brownwood   60  29  61  33 /   0   0   0   0
Sweetwater  59  33  63  40 /   0   0   0   0
Ozona       64  33  64  36 /   0   0   0   0
Brady       60  32  61  36 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...20
LONG TERM....19
AVIATION...07