Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Salt Lake City, UT

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888
FXUS65 KSLC 072209
AFDSLC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Salt Lake City UT
309 PM MST Sun Dec 7 2025

.SYNOPSIS...Northwest flow will gradually transition to upper
level ridging through the week, bringing a drying and warming
trend to most locations.

&&

.DISCUSSION...Broad upper level ridge remains in place centered
around 28N/131W. Northwest flow is stretched across much of the
West, with several weak shortwave troughs noted this afternoon
embedded in this flow. The next shortwave trough to impact the
Beehive State is noted across western Idaho as of press time.

This shortwave trough will shift across southern Idaho and
northern Utah this evening into tonight. Sufficient moisture
combined with weak cold air advection will bring light snow
showers to the northern mountains, largely north of I-80 and
perhaps light rain/snow showers to portions of the Cache Valley
this evening. Total snow accumulation for the Bear River Range
(25th to 75th percentile) will be 2 to 4 inches by Monday morning.

The eastern Pacific ridge will begin to shift eastward in response
to a digging trough across Montana into the upper Midwest Tuesday.
The majority of ensemble members now indicate this will shift the
storm track/atmospheric river event north and east of the CWA
Tuesday into Wednesday. The updated forecast is considerably lower
across the northern mountains, with less than a quarter inch of
precipitation south of about I-84 and maximum of around a half an
inch across the Bear River Range Wednesday into Thursday on the
southern periphery of the storm track.

The most impactful portion of the forecast will be strong, gusty
winds over Uinta County, WY. 700mb winds will increase to around
50 to 60 kts by Tuesday afternoon and remain elevated through at
least Thursday. Right now, the probability of exceeding 50 mph in
this area is 25% across Uinta County Tuesday afternoon, 45-50%
Wednesday afternoon, and around 20% Thursday afternoon. May need
to start considering high wind watches

As an even stronger and deeper trough builds into the eastern
half of the country later this week, upper level ridging will
amplify further keeping the region in a dry, relatively warm
pattern.

&&

.AVIATION...KSLC...Broken or overcast conditions in VFR range
will prevail through around 12Z with light southeast winds. Nearby
isolated mountain snow showers will result in mountain
obscuration. Conditions will clear after 12Z with light southeast
winds transitioning to light northwest winds around 20Z.

.REST OF UTAH AND SOUTHWEST WYOMING...Broken or overcast clouds
in VFR range will prevail throughout southwest Wyoming and
northern Utah. Isolated showers, primarily mountain snow showers,
will cause mountain obscuration through around 12Z. Conditions
will clear after that with light winds for northern Utah and
west/southwest wind gusts around 25 knots for southwest Wyoming.
Clouds will increase throughout southern Utah after 00Z, then
clear after 09Z.


&&

.SLC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
UT...None.
WY...None.
&&

$$

Kruse/Wilson

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