Prognostic Meteorological Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
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136 FXUS01 KWBC 080759 PMDSPD Short Range Forecast Discussion NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 258 AM EST Mon Dec 08 2025 Valid 12Z Mon Dec 08 2025 - 12Z Wed Dec 10 2025 ...Atmospheric river to usher in several days of heavy rain into the Pacific Northwest... ...Heavy snowfall expected in south-central Virginia today... The forecast remains on track for a prolonged atmospheric river to usher in several days of heavy rainfall over the Pacific Northwest. Beginning this morning, rainfall coverage and intensity is expected to increase across coastal Washington and Oregon as a potent slug of sub-tropical moisture begins to flow inland along a strong Pacific jet. Isolated to scattered instances of flash flooding are possible with this activity through midweek, where a slew of Flood Watches are in effect. Rainfall aside, parts of the Pacific Northwest, Northern Rockies, and Northern Plains and can also expect a period of gusty winds today and Tuesday as the same Pacific jet develops a strong clipper system in the Canadian Rockies. As this clipper system ejects eastward into the Northern Plains and Upper Midwest late Tuesday, wintry weather should develop along the northern flank of the low center. While there remains uncertainty in forecast amounts, at least a few inches of snowfall and freezing rain are possible roughly along a Fargo to Grand Rapids line. A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect over portions of eastern North Dakota and western Minnesota, so stay tuned as the forecast evolves. Speaking of wintry weather, snowfall amounts over the central Appalachians and southern Mid-Atlantic have notably trended upward compared to yesterday`s forecast. A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect over portions of south-central Virginia (including the Richmond metro) for 3-5 inches of snowfall through this evening. Adjacent areas in the Appalachians and southern Mid-Atlantic should see 1-2 inches of snowfall, where Winter Weather Advisories are posted. Asherman Graphics available at https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php $$