118
FXUS62 KTAE 091139
AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
639 AM EST Tue Dec 9 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 635 AM EST Tue Dec 9 2025

- A quiet weather pattern is expected over the next 7 days, with
  no significant impacts. Impactful cold weather is forecast to
  remain north of the region.

&&

.SHORT TERM AND LONG TERM...
(Today through Monday)
Issued at 1203 AM EST Tue Dec 9 2025

This morning and Wednesday morning will be chilly with lows in
the 30s away from Gulf coast. Highs in the 50s today (coolest
in Southwest GA closer to the 25th percentile of guidance) will
warm into the 60s on Wednesday in advance of a dry cold front,
with southwest winds gusting around 20 mph. Briefly cooler in
the wake of the front on Thursday with mid-50s to mid-60s for
highs before warming well into the 60s Friday. The trend will
continue into the weekend with continued dry weather, and the
next potential cold front early next week. As mentioned above,
a quiet weather pattern is expected over the next 7 days, with
no significant impacts. Impactful cold weather is forecast to
remain north of the region.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 639 AM EST Tue Dec 9 2025

Satellite imagery shows a few patches of stratus clouds move
southwest across south Georgia, while surface obs shows cigs and
cloud bases in the 003-010 range as we approach sunrise. These
clouds will spread across ABY, DHN, and possibly TLH. Unlikely to
reach ECP. Cloud cigs will lift starting a few hours after
sunrise, with clouds dissipating during the afternoon. A clear
evening is expected.

Near-surface moisture and nearly calm winds tonight will be
ingredients for shallow ground fog.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1203 AM EST Tue Dec 9 2025

Fresh Northeast breezes will subside this morning, although
seas remain elevated through much of the day, with tranquil
boating conditions by tonight. Southwest winds increase in
advance of a cold front Wednesday, and remain elevated into
Thursday morning, in the 15 to 20 kt range. There is a low
(30%) chance a Small Craft Advisory may be needed. Tranquil
boating conditions return Thursday night through Saturday.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1203 AM EST Tue Dec 9 2025

A dry period of weather is on tap for at least the next week.
The main fire weather concern will be low dispersion through
this afternoon over all but the Southeast FL Big Bend due to
light northeast transport winds. Transport winds will become
brisk southwest on Wednesday, yielding good dispersion, then
become northwest after a dry cold frontal passage leading to
fair dispersion on Thursday. No other fire weather concerns.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Issued at 1203 AM EST Tue Dec 9 2025

The next chance of rain is not until at least the middle of
next week. There are no flooding concerns.

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Tallahassee   56  34  66  43 /   0   0   0   0
Panama City   57  40  67  46 /   0   0   0   0
Dothan        55  33  64  38 /   0   0   0   0
Albany        52  32  63  38 /   0   0   0   0
Valdosta      53  33  64  41 /   0   0   0   0
Cross City    60  37  66  46 /   0   0   0   0
Apalachicola  56  42  65  48 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...LF
LONG TERM....LF
AVIATION...Haner
MARINE...LF
FIRE WEATHER...LF
HYDROLOGY...LF