946
FXUS62 KTBW 081815
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
115 PM EST Mon Dec 8 2025

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Hazardous marine conditions late Monday into Tuesday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1255 PM EST Mon Dec 8 2025

A cold front that brought much needed rain yesterday and overnight,
continues to move south. A few showers are still possible,
especially over south Florida. Otherwise, cloudy and humid
conditions continue through the rest of the day and overnight. Dry
air will begin to filter in tomorrow as well as cooler
temperatures. The remainder of the week will be dry and pleasant
as high pressure builds back in. Temperatures will remain right
around normal for this time of year. Coolest morning will likely
be Wednesday with upper 30s north to upper 50s south.

As the weekend approaches another weak frontal boundary is
expected to move over Florida, slightly dropping temperatures
again. Rain chances currently remain low for this next system.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1255 PM EST Mon Dec 8 2025

Conditions will waver between IFR and MVFR for most of the area
through the rest of the day into the overnight hours as ceilings are
expected to remain low. A few isolated showers could make their way
near terminals, however confidence was too low to include in TAF.
Ceilings lift by mid morning tomorrow and clear out as the day
goes on and dry air filters in. Winds increase and shift more N/NE
this afternoon.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1255 PM EST Mon Dec 8 2025

N/NE winds expected to increase through the day, especially over
the waters, necessitating a Small Craft Advisory through tomorrow
morning. A few showers continue to develop and move over the
coastal waters this afternoon. Conditions improve tomorrow
afternoon and remain pleasant through the remainder of the week.
Another front is expected to move through the area next weekend,
increasing winds once again.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1255 PM EST Mon Dec 8 2025

Fire weather concerns remain minimal. Dry air will filter in
tomorrow, however RH values will remain above critical levels.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  52  69  54  72 /   0   0   0   0
FMY  58  74  58  77 /   0   0  10   0
GIF  51  69  52  74 /   0   0   0   0
SRQ  52  70  55  72 /   0   0   0   0
BKV  43  69  44  72 /   0   0   0   0
SPG  55  69  57  71 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EST Tuesday for Coastal waters
     from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 NM-Coastal
     waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 NM-
     Tampa Bay waters-Waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL
     out 20 to 60 NM-Waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee
     River FL out 20 to 60 NM.


&&

$$

DISCUSSION/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...Pearce
DECISION SUPPORT...Flannery