Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL
739 FXUS62 KTBW 040606 AFDTBW Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 106 AM EST Tue Nov 4 2025 ...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER... .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 106 AM EST Tue Nov 4 2025 - Breezy winds over the coastal waters today will create hazardous boating conditions. - After a cool start to the morning, temperatures will gradually warm up through the rest of the week. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 106 AM EST Tue Nov 4 2025 Broad surface high pressure is continuing to settle in north of the state today in the wake of the recent cold front. This is turning northerly flow this morning to more northeasterly by this afternoon, effectively turning off the weak cold air advection that brought in cooler and drier air than normal over the last couple of days. As a result, after a cool start to the morning, temperatures will warm up into the upper 70s to low 80s this afternoon under slightly breezy winds. Temperatures will continue to warm up through the rest of the week, with highs in the mid to upper 80s by Friday and the weekend. Otherwise, there is a possibility of some patchy fog each morning beginning on Thursday under clear skies, light flow, and dew points in the 50s and low 60s. During the weekend and into early next week, a broad upper level trough will dig into the eastern US, pulling a weak cold front into the Florida Peninsula late Sunday. This could result in a few showers and cooler air will fill back in by Monday under breezy northwest and north winds. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 106 AM EST Tue Nov 4 2025 VFR conditions are forecast to hold through the next 24 hours. && .MARINE... Issued at 106 AM EST Tue Nov 4 2025 As high pressure builds in north of the waters today, northeast winds will continue to produced Small Craft Exercise Caution conditions, and will run near advisory conditions at times. Winds and seas will gradually improve this afternoon and tonight, with east and northeast winds holding less than 15 knots Wednesday through the rest of the week. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 106 AM EST Tue Nov 4 2025 Moisture will gradually increase today and Wednesday, and critically low humidity is not expected. Patchy high dispersions will be possible this afternoon. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... TPA 82 63 85 64 / 0 0 0 0 FMY 83 64 84 66 / 0 0 0 0 GIF 82 61 84 62 / 0 0 0 0 SRQ 82 63 84 64 / 0 0 0 0 BKV 81 54 84 55 / 0 0 0 0 SPG 79 66 82 67 / 0 0 0 0 && .TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. Gulf waters...None. && $$ Fleming