Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL
539 FXUS62 KTBW 111843 AFDTBW Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 143 PM EST Thu Dec 11 2025 ...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER... .KEY MESSAGES... -Temperatures remain near to below normal through Friday, then warming up during the weekend. -Hazardous marine conditions expected Sunday night through Monday. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 130 PM EST Thu Dec 11 2025 Overall, a beautiful day with blue skies and pleasant temperatures. The pleasant conditions brought to you today by a weak cold front that continues to move south out of the area, filtering in cool dry air behind it. With the cloudless skies overnight, temperatures will likely drop into the mid to up 30s (north) and low to mid 40s (south). Some patchy frost could be possible, especially for Levy County. The cool temperatures do not hang around long, with the weekend highs back in the 80s as high pressure builds over the area. Before you can get used to the warm temperatures, another cold front moves through Sunday dropping temperatures once again, for the beginning of next week. Overall, rain chances remain very minimal, even with the next approaching cold front. Conditions stay dry and mostly pleasant through the forecast period. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 130 PM EST Thu Dec 11 2025 VFR conditions prevail through the period. Northwesterly winds diminish over night becoming light and variable through tomorrow. && .MARINE... Issued at 130 PM EST Thu Dec 11 2025 Elevated winds this afternoon behind a weak cold front will begin to diminish overnight, and marine conditions will begin to improve thereafter. Another cold front is expected to move through Sunday, and winds will once again increase to cautionary levels through Monday. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 130 PM EST Thu Dec 11 2025 Dry air continues to filter in today and tomorrow behind a cold front, dropping RH values below critical levels. However, winds will remain light and variable during this time. Moisture increases into the weekend. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... TPA 48 74 55 78 / 0 0 0 0 FMY 48 78 57 81 / 0 0 0 0 GIF 44 75 52 78 / 0 0 0 0 SRQ 46 75 55 78 / 0 0 0 0 BKV 39 74 44 78 / 0 0 0 0 SPG 54 73 60 76 / 0 0 0 0 && .TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. Gulf waters...None. && $$ DISCUSSION/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...Pearce DECISION SUPPORT...Wynn