Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL
175 FXUS62 KTBW 071810 AFDTBW Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 110 PM EST Fri Nov 7 2025 ...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 107 PM EST Fri Nov 7 2025 - Warm temperatures through the weekend, and areas of late night early morning fog. - Significant cool down expected for early next week. - Marine hazards expected early next week behind a strong cold front. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 107 PM EST Fri Nov 7 2025 As we head into the weekend, conditions will be more summerlike in nature with highs in the mid to upper 80s and even a sight chance of showers. However, a cold front will be moving over the area Sunday into Sunday night. Behind the front, the coldest air of the season will filter in. Come Monday, the warm summerlike temperatures of this weekend will seem like a distant memory, as the temperatures will continue to drop throughout the day. Areas north of I4 will likely not make it out of the 60s Monday. Overnight Monday, will be clear and cold, with many waking up Tuesday with temperatures in the 30s. A strong north wind will also be present Tuesday morning, which will make it feel even colder with the wind chills in the upper 20s for northern portions of the forecast area and mid to upper 30s south. High temperatures on Tuesday will range from upper 50s (north) to mid 60s(south). Tuesday night into Wednesday morning will also see low temperatures in the 30s and 40s throughout the area, however the wind will be less of a factor. Temperatures begin increase by Wednesday afternoon and should return to normal by the end of the week. With some moisture lingering over the area tonight and very little wind, some patchy to dense fog could develop. Fog should lift by mid morning if development does occur. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 107 PM EST Fri Nov 7 2025 VFR conditions prevail through the rest of the afternoon. Overnight, patchy to dense fog could develop, especially along the interior, and low-lying areas prone to fog. Fog could temporarily drop visibility at terminals, especially LAL, PGD, FMY, and RSW. Fog should lift by mid morning returning conditions to VFR through the remainder of the day. && .MARINE... Issued at 107 PM EST Fri Nov 7 2025 Marine conditions through the weekend should remain pleasant with light winds mainly out of the south to southwest. However, a strong cold front moves through Sunday into Sunday, bringing a slight chance of showers. Monday the winds increase to advisory levels and shift to the NW. Hazardous boating conditions expected Monday and Tuesday, with winds beginning to subside by Wednesday. The potential for rip currents also increases Monday through at least Wednesday. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 107 PM EST Fri Nov 7 2025 Fire weather concerns remain low through the weekend. Fire hazards increase Monday, as a cold front moves through ushering cold, dry air behind it, dropping RH values. North to northwest winds will also be on the gusty side. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... TPA 69 85 70 84 / 0 10 0 20 FMY 69 86 70 86 / 20 0 0 10 GIF 66 88 67 86 / 10 10 0 20 SRQ 68 83 70 83 / 10 10 0 10 BKV 60 85 64 83 / 0 10 0 20 SPG 69 81 71 81 / 0 10 0 10 && .TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. Gulf waters...None. && $$ DISCUSSION/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...Pearce DECISION SUPPORT...Anderson