Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL
231 FXUS62 KTBW 161745 AFDTBW Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 1245 PM EST Sun Nov 16 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... - There is a moderate chance of patchy fog for the next couple of nights. - Sunny, dry, and gradually warming conditions continue over the weekend and into next week. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1242 PM EST Sun Nov 16 2025 High pressure remains over the region today with dry and seasonable conditions continuing. A weak frontal boundary will then move over the state Monday and stall before eventually washing out mid-week. This boundary has very limited moisture with it, and so rain chances remain out of the forecast completely. High pressure then builds back overhead starting Wednesday before flattening and shifting eastward next weekend ahead of the next system. The main story for the week will be the lack of rainfall and then the warming temperatures. Highs start to creep up for tomorrow, but then for Tuesday and beyond, we`re looking at lower to mid 80s area-wide. While we shouldn`t hit records (at least as forecast now), it will certainly feel a lot warmer compared with the nice weather we`ve been enjoying over the past week or so. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1242 PM EST Sun Nov 16 2025 Mainly VFR conditions are expected. Patchy fog is expected tonight, but should remain outside of TAF sites with the exception of KLAL. && .MARINE... Issued at 1242 PM EST Sun Nov 16 2025 Northwest winds gradually turn north and then east over the next several days, but will remain below headlines. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 1242 PM EST Sun Nov 16 2025 No fire weather concerns as relative humidity values will remain above critical levels. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... TPA 65 82 64 83 / 0 0 0 0 FMY 61 81 62 84 / 0 0 0 0 GIF 60 83 60 83 / 0 0 0 0 SRQ 63 80 61 83 / 0 0 0 0 BKV 57 82 54 83 / 0 0 0 0 SPG 66 78 66 80 / 0 0 0 0 && .TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. Gulf waters...None. && $$