Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL
790 FXUS62 KTBW 110653 AFDTBW Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 153 AM EST Thu Dec 11 2025 ...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER... .KEY MESSAGES... -Hazardous marine conditions over northern waters tonight. -Temperatures remain near to below normal through Friday, then warming up during the weekend. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 148 AM EST Thu Dec 11 2025 A cold front will be pushing through the state this morning. We are not expected to see any rainshowers with this front but we will see cooler and drier air filtering in. Highs north of I-4 today should stay in the 60`s while areas south will struggle to get into the 70`s. Our coldest morning will be tomorrow with lows in the 40`s for most of us. We will see a quick warming trend by the weekend as highs get back near 80 degrees. This will be due to the front that passes by us today starting to push back north. With the front moving northward we will see some increase in moisture with some isolated showers possible mainly in Southwest Florida. However, another cold front will push through late on Sunday. This will result in another cool down to start our next work week with lows in the 40`s both Monday and Tuesday morning. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 148 AM EST Thu Dec 11 2025 VFR conditions through the period with winds out of the north behind a cold front that will push through this morning. && .MARINE... Issued at 148 AM EST Thu Dec 11 2025 A cold front will be pushing through this morning. As it does so winds will be picking up out of north around 10 to 15 knots. This, however, will be temporary as winds shift back easterly for Friday and Saturday around 5 to 10 knots. Winds will shift north again late on Sunday as another cold front pushes through and winds pick up to around 15 to 20 knots. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 148 AM EST Thu Dec 11 2025 A cold front will push through this morning bringing some drier air back into the forecast. This will result in some critical RHs today mainly across Levy County. However, on Friday we will see more widespread critical RH north of I-4. Both days winds will remain low so Red Flag Warnings will not be needed. Humidity and moisture will be on the rise during the weekend as the cold front starts to lift north again. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... TPA 70 49 73 55 / 0 0 0 0 FMY 76 51 78 56 / 0 0 0 0 GIF 70 46 74 52 / 0 0 0 0 SRQ 71 49 74 55 / 0 0 0 0 BKV 68 38 74 44 / 0 0 0 0 SPG 70 54 73 59 / 0 0 0 0 && .TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. Gulf waters...None. && $$ DISCUSSION/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...Shiveley DECISION SUPPORT...Shiveley UPPER AIR/CLIMATE...Shiveley