Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
968 FLUS44 KTSA 171827 HWOTSA Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Tulsa OK 127 PM CDT Fri Oct 17 2025 ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-181015- Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK- Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK- Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK- Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK- Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK- Washington OK-Washington AR- 127 PM CDT Fri Oct 17 2025 ...SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY... This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as much of Eastern Oklahoma. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. SEVERE THUNDERSTORM. RISK...Limited. AREA...Northeast Oklahoma. ONSET...After Midnight. FIRE WEATHER DANGER. RISK...Limited. AREA...Eastern Oklahoma. ONSET...Ongoing. DISCUSSION... South winds gusting around 25 mph along with unseasonably warm temperatures will result in limited grassfire spread potential across parts of eastern Oklahoma this afternoon. Humidity will mostly remain above 40% however. Thunderstorm chances will increase late tonight into Saturday morning across northeast Oklahoma as an upper level trough approaches from the northwest. Upper level forcing and a strong low level jet will support scattered showers and thunderstorms to develop. A few strong and marginally severe thunderstorms will be possible, where large hail and damaging wind gusts will be the main threats with the strongest storms. SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT... Local Spotter Activation May Be Needed. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday. SATURDAY...Severe Thunderstorm...High Wind and Heavy Rain Potential. SUNDAY AND MONDAY...High Wind Potential. TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...No Hazards. EXTENDED DISCUSSION... Thunderstorms, including possibly a few strong to marginally severe thunderstorms, will likely be ongoing Saturday morning ahead of a cold front. Storms are expected to reintensify, especially across far eastern Oklahoma, southeastern Oklahoma, and western Arkansas late Saturday morning and through the afternoon, with all severe hazards possible. Moderate to heavy rainfall will also be possible with thunderstorm activity. Winds ahead of the approaching cold front and behind the cold front will be gusty, with northerly gusts between 25 and 35 mph behind the front. Southerly winds will quickly return and become breezy again Sunday and especially on Monday ahead of another approaching cold front. Widespread southerly gusts in excess of 30 mph will occur Monday morning into the afternoon prior to the cold front pushing through late Monday afternoon into the evening. Much more tranquil weather will occur starting Tuesday. weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information. $$