Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FLUS44 KTSA 171827
HWOTSA

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
127 PM CDT Fri Oct 17 2025

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-181015-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
127 PM CDT Fri Oct 17 2025

...SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Northeast Oklahoma.
ONSET...After Midnight.

FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma.
ONSET...Ongoing.

DISCUSSION...
South winds gusting around 25 mph along with unseasonably warm
temperatures will result in limited grassfire spread potential
across parts of eastern Oklahoma this afternoon. Humidity will
mostly remain above 40% however.

Thunderstorm chances will increase late tonight into Saturday
morning across northeast Oklahoma as an upper level trough
approaches from the northwest. Upper level forcing and a strong
low level jet will support scattered showers and thunderstorms to
develop. A few strong and marginally severe thunderstorms will be
possible, where large hail and damaging wind gusts will be the
main threats with the strongest storms.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Local Spotter Activation May Be Needed.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
SATURDAY...Severe Thunderstorm...High Wind and Heavy Rain Potential.
SUNDAY AND MONDAY...High Wind Potential.
TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...No Hazards.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Thunderstorms, including possibly a few strong to marginally
severe thunderstorms, will likely be ongoing Saturday morning
ahead of a cold front. Storms are expected to reintensify,
especially across far eastern Oklahoma, southeastern Oklahoma, and
western Arkansas late Saturday morning and through the afternoon,
with all severe hazards possible. Moderate to heavy rainfall will
also be possible with thunderstorm activity. Winds ahead of the
approaching cold front and behind the cold front will be gusty,
with northerly gusts between 25 and 35 mph behind the front.

Southerly winds will quickly return and become breezy again
Sunday and especially on Monday ahead of another approaching cold
front. Widespread southerly gusts in excess of 30 mph will occur
Monday morning into the afternoon prior to the cold front pushing
through late Monday afternoon into the evening. Much more tranquil
weather will occur starting Tuesday.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$