Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Rapid City, SD
Issued by NWS Rapid City, SD
636 FNUS73 KUNR 142317 FWSUNR Spot Forecast for Creek Fire...Wyoming State Forestry Division National Weather Service Rapid City SD 517 PM MDT Fri Jun 14 2024 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 2300 MDT on June 14. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION...Wind directions and speeds are expected to be erratic through the evening as showers/storm move east off the Bighorns with an outflow boundary likely to push across the burn area mid-evening. The best chances for showers/storms will be through late evening, with drier conditions overnight. A few showers/storms again possible Saturday afternoon, with some gusty northwest winds by late evening as a cold front pushes through. Mostly dry conditions expected Sunday, but good chances for showers/storms arrive Sunday night. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) until midnight, then becoming partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms until about 10 PM. Min temperature.....Around 57. Max humidity........78 percent. Wind (20 ft)........South winds 10 to 15 mph early in the evening, shifting northwest 15 to 20 mph with gusts around 35 mph around 900 PM. Then gradually turning northeast then southeast around 10 mph by midnight. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms. CWR.................25 percent. LAL.................2 until 2400, then 1. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......400 to 900 ft agl. Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 20 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor. .SATURDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Max temperature.....Around 92. Min humidity........19 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon. CWR.................15 percent. LAL.................1 until 1200, then 3. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......10500 to 11000 ft agl. Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph increasing to around 25 mph in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent. .SATURDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening. Min temperature.....Around 48. Max humidity........66 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Breezy. Southwest winds 15 to 25 mph shifting to the northwest late in the evening. Gusts up to 36 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the evening. CWR.................0 percent. LAL.................2 until 2400, then 1. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......500 to 1000 ft agl. Transport winds.....Southwest around 25 mph increasing to northwest around 35 mph overnight. Smoke dispersal.....Poor. .SUNDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). (A very good chance of showers and thunderstorms Sunday night) Max temperature.....Around 72. Min humidity........22 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds around 10 mph with gusts to around 17 mph. CWR.................0 percent. LAL.................1. Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......4900 to 5400 ft agl. Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 20 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Good. $$ Forecaster...JJ Requested by...Jeremy Dedic Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2416066.3/UNR .DELDT 06/14/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL jeremy.dedic@wyo.gov