313
FNUS74 KMOB 071119
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for Desoto Block 8374 Boggy Branch...USFS
National Weather Service Mobile AL
619 AM CDT Tue May 7 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on May 07.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Mainly dry weather can be expected today over the burn site but
cannot rule out an isolated shower or thunderstorm this afternoon
as a weak upper level disturbance passes by to the north.
Southerly transport winds will persist today and tomorrow along
with mixing heights near 4kft both this afternoon and again on Wednesday
afternoon. Dispersions over the burn area will be good this
afternoon and generally good on Wednesday afternoon.

Fog potential and other remarks...Locally patchy fog will be
possible early this morning and again late tonight into early
Wednesday morning. Visibilities should remain greater than 4 miles
in any patchy fog.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 87.
Min humidity........57 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 9 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......4200 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...1067-1280 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 18 to 20 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 8 to 9 meters/second.
Dispersion index....62.
LVORI...............2.
Stability class.....3.

TIME (CDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........69     54     47     49
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1
Temp............83     86     87     87
RH..............70     61     59     57
20 FT wind dir..S      S      S      S
20 FT wind spd..10     13     14     14
20 FT wind gust.18     22     23     23
Mix hgt (ft)....3500   4200   4200   3700
Mix hgt (m).....1070   1280   1280   1130
Transp wind dir.S      S      S      S
Transp wind spd.20     20     18     18
Trans wind dir..S      S      S      S
Trans spd (m/s).9      9      8      8
Dispersion idx..61     66     64     58
LVORI...........3      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 73.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...152-1128 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 12 to 20 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 5 to 9 meters/second.
Dispersion index....58 decreasing to 12.
LVORI...............4.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........38     35     40     61     75     82
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10     0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............85     80     77     75     74     74
RH..............63     74     82     90     97     93
20 FT wind dir..S      S      S      S      S      S
20 FT wind spd..12     10     9      8      7      6
20 FT wind gust.20     16     15     13     12     10
Mix hgt (ft)....3700   700    700    700    500    600
Mix hgt (m).....1130   210    210    210    150    180
Transp wind dir.S      S      S      S      S      S
Transp wind spd.20     16     14     13     12     13
Trans wind dir..S      S      S      S      S      S
Trans spd (m/s).9      7      6      6      5      6
Dispersion idx..58     11     11     11     10     10
LVORI...........1      4      4      6      6      6

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 89.
Min humidity........56 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 13 mph.
Mixing height.......3800 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...183-1158 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 12 to 21 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 5 to 9 meters/second.
Dispersion index....13 increasing to 56.
LVORI...............4.
Stability class.....3.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........81     78     73     60     54     54
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............73     77     85     89     89     88
RH..............93     85     67     57     57     57
20 FT wind dir..S      S      S      S      S      S
20 FT wind spd..6      7      10     13     15     15
20 FT wind gust.9      12     17     22     24     25
Mix hgt (ft)....600    2000   3200   3400   3800   3400
Mix hgt (m).....180    610    980    1040   1160   1040
Transp wind dir.S      S      S      S      S      S
Transp wind spd.12     13     17     21     20     20
Trans wind dir..S      S      S      S      S      S
Trans spd (m/s).5      6      8      9      9      9
Dispersion idx..10     30     49     56     59     57
LVORI...........6      4      3      1      1      1

$$
Forecaster...Jonathan Howell (31)
Requested by...Cliff Willis
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2413312.0/MOB
.DELDT 05/07/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL clifton.willis@usda.gov