Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

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FXUS62 KJAX 231436
AFDJAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1036 AM EDT SAT MAY 23 2015

.UPDATE...
HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE MID ATLANTIC COAST WILL MAINTAIN
AN ONSHORE FLOW TODAY WITH BREEZY CONDITIONS ALONG THE COAST.
UPPER RIDGE AXIS OVER THE AREA WITH SUBSIDENCE AND CAPPING
INVERSION WILL KEEP MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS IN PLACE. SHALLOW LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE OFF THE ATLANTIC COUPLED WITH SOME MODERATE COASTAL
CONVERGENCE WILL SPARK A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS. A FEW OF THESE
SHOWERS MAY PRODUCE SOME MEASURABLE RAIN SOUTH OF A LINE FROM
JACKSONVILLE TO GAINESVILLE WHERE WE WILL CONTINUE TO SHOW A 20%
CHANCE OF RAIN THIS AFTERNOON. ELSEWHERE...ANY ISOLATED SPRINKLE
SHOULD REMAIN TOO LIGHT TO PRODUCE ANY MEASURABLE RAINFALL.
OTHERWISE...PARTLY CLOUDY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL WITH
TEMPERATURES A LITTLE BELOW NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL TODAY WITH SCATTERED TO BROKEN
STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS AROUND 4K-5K FEET. CEILINGS WILL LOWER SOME
LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING WITH SOME HIGH END MVFR
CONDITIONS POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY AT TERMINALS NEAR THE ATLANTIC
COAST.

&&

.MARINE...
ONSHORE WINDS AT A SOLID 15 TO 20 KNOTS TODAY WILL BRIEFLY NEAR
SCA CRITERIA OF 20 KNOTS LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING.
WILL CONTINUE TO SIDE WITH AN EXERCISE CAUTION FOR ALL WATERS SINCE
ANY POSSIBLE SCA CONDITIONS WILL BE MARGINAL AND SHORT LIVED.

RIP CURRENTS: MODERATE RISK TODAY WITH ONSHORE FLOW.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  85  64  88  68 /   0   0  10  10
SSI  79  71  81  73 /  10  10  20  40
JAX  84  68  85  72 /  10  20  20  20
SGJ  81  73  83  74 /  20  20  30  20
GNV  88  69  87  69 /  20  10  30  10
OCF  89  70  89  70 /  20  20  30  10

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&

$$

SHULER/STRUBLE/WALKER



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