Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV

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FXUS65 KLKN 231000
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
200 AM PST SUN NOV 23 2014

.SYNOPSIS...DRY WEATHER ACROSS NEVADA WITH A GRADUAL WARMING TREND
THROUGH THANKSGIVING.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

DRY WEATHER RETURNS TO NEVADA TODAY, AND REMAINS THROUGH TUESDAY.
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST FOR A GRADUAL INCREASE IN
HEIGHTS AND THICKNESSES EACH DAY. A PLEASANT WARMING TREND
WILL RESULT. SOME CLOUDS WILL SPILL INTO NEVADA FROM THE NORTH
FROM TIME TO TIME, AS THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE AMPLIFIES. FANTASTIC
WEATHER TO GET TO GRANDMA`S HOUSE FOR THANKSGIVING.  TURNER


.LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. OVER THE LKN CWFA THERE
TENDS TO BE GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING THEN
THERE IS SOME DOWNSTREAM MODEL INCONSISTENCIES. HOWEVER DRY
CONDITIONS SHOULD HOLD THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT AND THERE ARE NO
THANKSGIVING TRAVEL CONCERNS ACROSS THE MAJORITY OF THE INTER-
MOUNTAIN WEST.

TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BE SITUATED ABOUT 270 MILES OFFSHORE AND REMAIN STATIONARY
WHILE A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING FROM CENTAL HIGH PRESSURE ROLLS
EASTWARD OVER THE GREAT BASIN REGION. THIS WILL BRING DRY CONDITIONS.
LOW TEMPERATURES WILL START TO MODERATE AND HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM NEAR
50 DEGREES ACROSS NORTHERN NEVADA TO NEAR 60 DEGREES SOUTH OF HIGHWAY
50.

THANKSGIVING DAY. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BE DROPPING SOUTH INTO
THE MIDDLE OF THE COUNTRY. IN RESPONSE...HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE
GREAT BASIN WILL START TO DE-AMPLIFY. HOWEVER THE RIDGE WILL REMAIN
STRONG ENOUGH TO PROVIDE A BEAUTIFUL THANKSGIVING DAY WITH DRY
CONDITIONS. TEMPERATURES SHOULD RISE INTO THE 50S ACROSS MUCH OF
THE STATE.

THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH BLACK FRIDAY. LOW PRESSURE OVER THE MIDDLE OF
THE COUNTRY WILL SHIFT EAST ENOUGH TO CREATE A RESURGENCE OF RIDGING
OVER NEVADA AND ANOTHER NICE DAY WILL BE ON TAP. EARLY MORNING
SHOPPERS WILL HAVE TO DEAL WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE 20S. HOWEVER
TEMPERATURES WILL RISE INTO THE 50S ONCE AGAIN ON BLACK FRIDAY
AFTERNOON.

FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. A WEAK WEATHER SYSTEM MAY BRING SOME
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS TO AREAS NEAR THE IDAHO AND OREGON BORDERS.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED AT KELY AND KTPH THROUGH
MONDAY MORNING. THERE MAY BE SOME FOG DEVELOPMENT NEAR KWMC AND
KEKO EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

99/92/92



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