Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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000
FXUS64 KMEG 212323
AFDMEG

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
623 PM CDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.UPDATE...
UPDATED TO ADD 00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 310 PM CDT TUE OCT 21 2014/

DISCUSSION...

CURRENTLY...ANOTHER BEAUTIFUL FALL DAY UNDERWAY ACROSS THE REGION
WITH SUNNY SKIES AND TEMPS IN THE 70S.

TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL
CONTINUE FROM THE GREAT LAKES INTO THE MIDSOUTH. COOLER AIR WILL
FILTER IN TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY ON NORTHEAST WINDS. 925MB TEMPS
DROP FROM 14-15C TO 8-9C. EXPECT LOWS TONIGHT IN THE 40S AND
HIGHS IN THE 60S WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL
PROBABLY BE THE COOLEST NIGHT WITH HIGH PRESSURE DROPPING SOUTH
OVER THE REGION. LIGHT WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES WILL HELP TEMPS DROP
INTO THE 30S IN SOME LOCATIONS. WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE SOME
FROST TOWARD THE TN RIVER VALLEY.

THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...A COUPLE OF WEAK UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCES WILL ROLL THROUGH THE REGION WITH SOME MID AND HIGH
CLOUDS. NO RAIN EXPECTED AND HIGH TEMPS ON THURSDAY WILL BE MAINLY
IN THE 60S.

FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY...LARGE UPPER RIDGE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION
WITH WARMING TEMPS AND MAINLY CLEAR SKIES. TEMPS WILL CLIMB INTO
THE LOWER 80S BY SATURDAY CONTINUING INTO MONDAY. LOWS WILL BE IN
THE 50S AND WITH SOME LOWER 60S BY EARLY NEXT WEEK.

TUESDAY...12Z MODELS ARE POINTING TOWARD A FRONTAL PASSAGE ON
TUESDAY WITH CHANCES FOR SHOWERS THEN COOLER.

SJM

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF CYCLE

VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD. LIGHT WINDS
WILL INCREASE TO NORTHEAST WINDS BETWEEN 6-9 KTS AFTER 21/15Z.

CJC

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
MO...NONE.
MS...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

$$







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