Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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FXUS64 KMEG 040514
AFDMEG

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1214 AM CDT FRI SEP 4 2015

.UPDATE...
UPDATED TO ADD 06Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 810 PM CDT THU SEP 3 2015/

UPDATE...FORECAST LOOKS RIGHT ON TRACK. EXPECT A DRY AND CLEAR
NIGHT WITH LOWE A COUPLE OF DEGREES WARMER THAN LAST NIGHT...IN
THE MIDDLE 60S TO MIDDLE 70S.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 622 PM CDT THU SEP 3 2015/

UPDATE... /ISSUED 301 PM CDT THU SEP 3 2015/

SKIES ARE MOSTLY SUNNY ACROSS MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA THIS
AFTERNOON WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S. VERY
LITTLE SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS DEVELOPED TODAY IN OR
NEAR THE FORECAST AREA AND WHAT HAS DEVELOPED SHOULD MOVE OUT OF
THE REGION BEFORE SUNSET.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN CONTROL OF THE WEATHER OVER THE
REGION FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. AS A RESULT DRY CONDITIONS WILL
PREVAIL WITH TEMPERATURES REMAINING ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH SUNDAY
NIGHT. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE MID 90S WITH LOWS FROM THE UPPER 60S
TO MID 70S.

ON MONDAY...A COLD FRONT WILL BE MOVING INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS
AND UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. SOME THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE FRONT AND SOME OF THIS ACTIVITY MAY REACH FAR
NORTHWEST SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA WHILE THE REMAINDER OF THE
REGION WILL REMAIN DRY. AS THE FRONT MOVES A LITTLE CLOSER TO THE
FORECAST AREA...THE SMALL CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER NORTHWEST
SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA WILL CONTINUE FOR MONDAY NIGHT. THE
FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE CLOSER TO THE REGION ON TUESDAY WITH A
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA ON TUESDAY
AND MOST AREAS FOR TUESDAY NIGHT.

BY WEDNESDAY...THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE FORECAST AREA
WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED FOR WEDNESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. WHAT IS LEFT OF THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OUT OF
THE FORECAST AREA BY NEXT THURSDAY MORNING WITH A SMALL CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE. AS SLIGHTLY COOLER AIR MOVES IN BEHIND THE
FRONT...TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN TO NEAR NORMAL LEVELS BY NEXT
THURSDAY.

ARS
&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF SET

VFR CONDITIONS GENERALLY EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
ALTHOUGH...THERE COULD BE SOME PATCHY FOG THAT REDUCES VSBYS TO MVFR
OR LOWER BETWEEN 8-12Z AT KMKL...KJBR...AND KTUP. WINDS WILL BE
LIGHT AND VARIABLE THROUGH THE PERIOD.

KRM

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
MO...NONE.
MS...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

$$


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