Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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000
FXUS64 KMEG 200412
AFDMEG

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1112 PM CDT TUE AUG 19 2014

.DISCUSSION...

UPDATED FOR 06Z AVIATION DISCUSSION

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 836 PM CDT TUE AUG 19 2014/

UPDATE...

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THAT WERE UPSTREAM OF THE MIDSOUTH HAVE
DIED OUT THIS EVENING. EXPECT THAT TO BE THE END OF THE CHANCES OF
PRECIPITATION THUS WILL UPDATE TO REMOVE POPS. REST OF FORECAST
LOOKS GOOD. UPPER RIDGE WILL BEGIN BUILDING INTO THE AREA
BRINGING HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS TO THE MIDSOUTH THROUGH AT LEAST
THE WEEKEND.

KRM

DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 233 PM CDT TUE AUG 19 2014/

SYNOPSIS...
GENERALLY TYPICAL SUMMER WEATHER ACROSS THE REGION WITH TEMPERATURES
IN THE UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S.

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)...
A STRONG SHORTWAVE OVER THE NORTHERN GREAT LAKES WILL PUSH A TROF
ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY. THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE OHIO VALLEY MAY
PUSH INTO NORTHERN AND EASTERN SECTIONS OF OUR FORECAST AREA THIS
EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT. ON WEDNESDAY NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT
BEGINS TO PUSH EAST AS AN UPPER HIGH BEGINS TO BUILD INTO OUR
REGION. INCREASING HEAT AND HUMIDITY WILL BEGIN ON
WEDNESDAY...HOWEVER HEAT INDEX VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW
ADVISORY CRITERIA.

LONG TERM (THURSDAY THOUGHT TUESDAY)...
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL INCREASE AND DOMINATE OUR REGION LATE IN
THE WEEK ON INTO THE WEEKEND.  THIS FEATURE WILL LIKELY PUSH
TEMPERATURES TO THEIR HIGHEST LEVELS FOR THE SUMMER. HEAT INDEX
VALUES WILL FLIRT WITH 105 FOR SEVERAL DAYS...HEAT ADVISORIES MAY
BE NEEDED....THEREFORE WILL CONTINUE TO MENTION THE HEAT IN THE
HWO.

BELLES

&&

.AVIATION...

06Z TAFS

EXPECT A QUIET NIGHT WITH VFR CONDS. EXCEPTION WILL BE SOME LIGHT
FOG ACROSS EASTERN SECTIONS LATE. VFR WEDNESDAY. LIGHT SSW WINDS
OVERNIGHT...SW 8-10 KTS WEDNESDAY...DIMINISHING AFTER SUNSET.

SJM

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
MO...NONE.
MS...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

$$








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